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Home › Turkey › Süper Lig › Beşiktaş — Kocaelispor

Predictions by Market: Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor

Turkey   /   Süper Lig Value pick inside
Beşiktaş
Beşiktaş
Home · last 5 W W W L W
Kick-off
Sun 11 Oct · 16:00
2:1
Full-time
Kocaelispor
Kocaelispor
W W L W L Away · last 5
Referee Abdullah Bugra Taskinsoy, Türkiye

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · BES
78%
Best 1.26
Draw
16%
Best 6.38
Away Win · KOC
6%
Best 12.00
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 2.40
Fair odds
2.20
book 2.40 · +9.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
—
Pick confidence
Medium
p 46% · EV +9.3%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 2.5 is more likely (54%), but Under 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 77.9%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 16.2%
Odds 6.45
Show model details
Implied probability 15.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 6%
Odds 12.00
Show model details
Implied probability 8.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 4 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 45.5%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 41.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 54.5%
Odds 1.63
Show model details
Implied probability 61.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 33.3%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5 Best in group
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 54.6%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 45.4%
Odds 2.03
Show model details
Implied probability 49.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 94%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 22.1%
Odds 4.06
Show model details
Implied probability 24.6%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
BES – KOC @ 2.40
+9.3%
Edge
Forecast →