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Home › Turkey › Süper Lig › Fenerbahçe — Alanyaspor

Prediction: Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor, October 17

Turkey   /   Süper Lig Value pick inside
Fenerbahçe
Fenerbahçe
Home · last 5 W L D W W
Kick-off
Sat 17 Oct · 16:00
—:—
Pre-match · scheduled
Alanyaspor
Alanyaspor
L W D W D Away · last 5

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · FEN
76%
Best 1.31
Draw
17%
Best 5.89
Away Win · ALA
7%
Best 10.00

Model verdict

Model leans toward Fenerbahçe to win — 76% probability.

Also rated highly: Over 2.5 goals 70%.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 76% Fenerbahçe win
Over/Under 2.5 70% Over 2.5
BTTS 54% Yes
Double Chance 93% 1X
  • 1X2 Fenerbahçe win 76%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 70%
  • BTTS Yes 54%
  • Double Chance 1X 93%
Open betting analysis

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Fenerbahçe
W/D/L 2-2-1
Goals (for / against) 13 / 3
Avg goals / match 3.2
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 3/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-1-1
Away (W-D-L) 1-1-0
xG (for / against) 3.01 / 1.16
Alanyaspor
W/D/L 2-2-1
Goals (for / against) 6 / 5
Avg goals / match 2.2
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 0-2-0
Away (W-D-L) 2-0-1
xG (for / against) 1.09 / 1.41

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
3
Goals Scored
1.14
0.67
Goals Conceded
0.86
2.25
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
7.33
Shots on Target
3.29
6
Corners
5.29
44.50
Possession (%)
43
101.39
Efficiency index
106.48
156.58
Adjusted index
101.88
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
94
OFF · home
22
56
DEF · home
44
72
OFF · away
33
100
DEF · away
94
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

Scenario insights

①
Fenerbahçe wins when scoring first
—
①
Alanyaspor wins when scoring first
—
⚽
Fenerbahçe BTTS rate · last 10
60%
⚽
Alanyaspor BTTS rate · last 10
60%
↑
Fenerbahçe Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
↑
Alanyaspor Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
↩
Fenerbahçe comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Alanyaspor comeback rate · last 10
0%

Goal timing

Fenerbahçe · last 6 at home

0–15 8%
16–30 0%
31–45 23%
46–60 15%
61–75 23%
76–90 31%

Alanyaspor · last 4 away

0–15 0%
16–30 33%
31–45 0%
46–60 17%
61–75 17%
76–90 33%
Late-game scoring — most goals come after the 60th.

Top scorers

V. Muriqi
FEN · Attacker
6 G · 1.33 g/90
M. Greenwood
FEN · Attacker
4 G · 0.68 g/90
Ruan
ALA · Midfielder
1 G
B. Gezek
ALA · Midfielder
0 G