Match Başakşehir vs Beşiktaş February 15, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

Istanbul Basaksehir holds a slight quality edge and benefits from a solid home momentum with four wins in five. Their defensive compactness could challenge Besiktas' attacking flair, despite the visitors' stronger offensive numbers. The home side's pressing edge and recent form suggest a competitive, moderately paced game with potential for goals.

Home defensive resilience vs away attacking threat
Recent strong home form against steady away results
Moderate tempo indicated by goal market odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

IST 4-2-3-1 · BES 4-1-4-1

IST · 4-2-3-1 4-1-4-1 · BES

9 Selke

📊 Statistics

IST 2 – 3 BES

56%

Possession (%)

44%

1.47

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.53

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

81%

Pass Accuracy (%)

75%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Beşiktaş won 3–2 away at Başakşehir. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 56% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.53 to 1.47. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 3. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.86 units (Brier 0.202).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.69	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.62	—	41%	Cashed	+1.62	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.69	—	62%	Cashed	+0.69	Cashed
BTTS No	2.56	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.02	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.28	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.60	—	30%	Cashed	+1.60	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.91	—	30%	Cashed	+0.91	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.54	—	70%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.55	—	64%	Cashed	+0.55	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.52	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.50	—	55%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.22	—	82%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.05	—	95%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Draw	3.75	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.67	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	15.00	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.86u	−17% ROI

Match Başakşehir vs Beşiktaş February 15, 2026 — Result and Stats

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled