Match Alanyaspor vs Fenerbahçe January 18, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Fenerbahce holds a clear quality edge over Alanyaspor, reflected in their stronger squad and superior offensive metrics. Despite Alanyaspor's solid home form, Fenerbahce's attacking threat and defensive solidity suggest they can control the game. The home side's defensive struggles against a high-powered offense may lead to a challenging night.

Fenerbahce's pressing and pace could exploit Alanyaspor's defensive gaps.
Alanyaspor's recent draws hint at resilience but limited scoring.
Moderate pace expected, favoring tactical discipline over wild open play.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

ALA 3-4-3 · FEN 4-2-3-1

ALA · 3-4-3 4-2-3-1 · FEN

16 Hwang

📊 Statistics

ALA 2 – 3 FEN

45%

Possession (%)

55%

0.65

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.30

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

86%

Pass Accuracy (%)

85%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Fenerbahçe won 3–2 away at Alanyaspor. At half-time it was 2–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 55% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.30 to 0.65.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.45 units (Brier 0.151).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	1.60	—	66%	Cashed	+0.60	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.94	—	51%	Cashed	+0.94	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.99	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.97	—	49%	Cashed	+0.97	Cashed
BTTS No	1.87	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	2.51	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.16	—	88%	Cashed	+0.16	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.21	—	66%	Cashed	+0.21	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.31	—	75%	Cashed	+0.31	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.06	—	92%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.30	—	29%	Cashed	+2.30	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.35	—	71%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.80	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.26	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	11.00	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	6.20	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	4.55	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.45u	−20% ROI