Match Fenerbahçe vs Kayserispor November 9, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Fenerbahce Looks Set to Dominate

Fenerbahce's strong home momentum and superior quality gap suggest they will control the game. Their potent attack faces a relatively weaker Kayserispor defense, while Kayserispor's offense struggles against Fenerbahce's solid defensive block. Recent form favors the hosts, who have been consistent winners, contrasting with Kayserispor's patchy results. Expect a high-tempo match with Fenerbahce pressing aggressively and likely to create multiple scoring chances.

Home edge in attack and defense
Superior recent form and confidence
Likely fast-paced, attacking game

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

FEN 4-1-4-1 · KAY 4-1-4-1

FEN · 4-1-4-1 4-1-4-1 · KAY

94 Talisca

23 Carole 15 Bennasser

📊 Statistics

FEN 4 – 2 KAY

62%

Possession (%)

38%

2.24

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.26

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Fouls

91%

Pass Accuracy (%)

81%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Fenerbahçe beat Kayserispor 4–2 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 62% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 91% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.24 to 1.26. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 28 shots to 5, 9 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 4 from 2.24 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -6.21 units (Brier 0.081).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes	2.01	—	51%	Cashed	+1.01	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.90	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.00	—	48%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
BTTS No	1.85	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	8.45	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.04	—	95%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Under 2.5	3.20	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.18	—	82%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.03	—	82%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Double Chance X2	5.50	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	7.50	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.02	—	97%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.12	—	87%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.39	—	69%	Cashed	+0.39	Cashed
Under 0.5	26.00	—	3%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	15.50	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	10.50	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−6.21u	−37% ROI