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Home › Turkey › Süper Lig › Fenerbahçe — Kayserispor

Predictions by Market: Fenerbahçe vs Kayserispor

Turkey   /   Süper Lig Value pick inside
Fenerbahçe
Fenerbahçe
Home · last 5 D L W W D
Kick-off
Sun 09 Nov · 17:00
4:2
Full-time
Kayserispor
Kayserispor
L W D L W Away · last 5
Referee Ozan Ergun, Türkiye

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · FEN
82%
Best 1.18
Draw
14%
Best 7.20
Away Win · KAY
5%
Best 13.00
Value pick
Draw
@ 8.45
Fair odds
7.39
book 8.45 · +14.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 14% · EV +14.3%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (82%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Draw
Probability 13.5%
Odds 8.45
Show model details
Implied probability 11.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 81.8%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win
Probability 4.6%
Odds 15.50
Show model details
Implied probability 6.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 52.2%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 52.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 47.8%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 30.9%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 13.2%
Odds 7.50
Show model details
Implied probability 13.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 96.6%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 86.8%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 69.1%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 71.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 3.4%
Odds 26.00
Show model details
Implied probability 3.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 50.8%
Odds 2.01
Show model details
Implied probability 49.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 49.2%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 81.8%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 4.6%
Odds 10.50
Show model details
Implied probability 9.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 95.4%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 18.2%
Odds 5.50
Show model details
Implied probability 18.2%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
FEN – KAY @ 8.45
+14.3%
Edge
Forecast →