Match Beşiktaş vs Fenerbahçe November 2, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.69 — +9.4% better than the market.

Fenerbahce arrives with a clear quality edge and a strong defensive record, likely to challenge Besiktas' home momentum at Tupras Stadium. Despite Besiktas' better recent points per game, Fenerbahce's pressing and compact defensive block could stifle the hosts' attack. Expect a tactical battle with a moderate pace, leaning towards an open game given the odds favoring over 2.5 goals.

Fenerbahce's defensive solidity vs Besiktas' offensive efforts
Home side's recent form advantage
Potential for goals given attacking tendencies and pace hints

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5

Over 2.5 @ 1.69 ✓ Cashed

AI 65% Implied 59% +0.69u

+69%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

BES 4-2-3-1 · FEN 4-1-4-1

BES · 4-2-3-1 4-1-4-1 · FEN

19 B. Toure

📊 Statistics

BES 2 – 3 FEN

32%

Possession (%)

68%

1.13

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.66

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

70%

Pass Accuracy (%)

89%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Fenerbahçe won 3–2 away at Beşiktaş. At half-time it was 2–2.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 68% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 89% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.66 to 1.13. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 23 shots to 9, 11 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 6 to 1. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.95 units (Brier 0.135).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	1.69	—	65%	Cashed	+0.69	Cashed
Away Win	2.52	—	48%	Cashed	+1.52	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.63	—	44%	Cashed	+1.63	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.90	—	48%	Cashed	+0.90	Cashed
BTTS No	2.58	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.31	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.78	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.04	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.50	—	72%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.56	—	65%	Cashed	+0.56	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.53	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.57	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.21	—	84%	Cashed	+0.21	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.04	—	95%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Draw	3.75	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.75	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	15.00	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.95u	−17% ROI