Match Sparta Rotterdam vs Excelsior May 17, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.78 — +12.7% better than the market.

Sparta Rotterdam hosts Excelsior in a closely matched Eredivisie clash. Sparta holds a slight edge in overall quality and defensive solidity, which could be key against Excelsior’s sharper attack. However, Excelsior’s recent form shows signs of momentum, contrasting Sparta’s struggles to secure wins. Expect a tactical battle with Sparta’s home resilience tested by Excelsior’s pressing and forward movement.

Home defensive strength vs away offensive threat
Recent form favors visitors slightly
Moderate pace suggested by goal market odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.78 ✗ Lost

AI 63% Implied 56% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

SPA 4-2-3-1 · EXC 4-3-3

SPA · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · EXC

9 Lauritsen

📊 Statistics

SPA 2 – 3 EXC

53%

Possession (%)

47%

1.76

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.95

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

81%

Pass Accuracy (%)

79%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	1.78	—	63%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.70	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.04	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.85	—	49%	Cashed	+0.85	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.08	—	37%	Cashed	+1.08	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.50	—	26%	Cashed	+1.50	Cashed
BTTS No	2.81	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	6.00	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.36	—	74%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.40	—	59%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.44	—	57%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.58	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	21.00	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.02	—	94%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Draw	4.16	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.12	—	79%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
Away Win	3.30	—	26%	Cashed	+2.30	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.29u	−13% ROI