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Home Netherlands Eredivisie Sparta Rotterdam — Excelsior

Predictions Sparta Rotterdam vs Excelsior May 17, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam
Home · last 5 L L D L L
Kick-off
Sun 17 May · 12:30
2:3
Full-time
Excelsior
Excelsior
D W W D W Away · last 5
Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel · Rotterdam Referee A. Lindhout
Home Win · SPA
51%
Best 2.03
Draw
22%
Best 4.00
Away Win · EXC
26%
Best 3.40
Value pick
Under 3.5
@ 1.78
Fair odds
1.58
book 1.78 · +12.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
Pick confidence
High
p 63% · EV +12.7%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 51.4%
Odds 2.04
Show model details
Implied probability 49%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 22.3%
Odds 4.16
Show model details
Implied probability 24%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 26.3%
Odds 3.30
Show model details
Implied probability 30.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 63.3%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality High
Under 2.5
Probability 42.9%
Odds 2.70
Show model details
Implied probability 37%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5
Probability 36.7%
Odds 2.08
Show model details
Implied probability 48.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 20.9%
Odds 6.00
Show model details
Implied probability 16.7%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 57.2%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 5.7%
Odds 21.00
Show model details
Implied probability 4.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.3%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 79.1%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 40.9%
Odds 2.81
Show model details
Implied probability 35.6%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 59.1%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 26.3%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 51.4%
Odds 1.58
Show model details
Implied probability 63.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 48.6%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 73.7%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 3.5
SPA – EXC @ 1.78
+12.7%
Edge
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