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Home › Netherlands › Eredivisie › Sparta Rotterdam — Excelsior

Predictions by Market: Sparta Rotterdam vs Excelsior

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam
Home · last 5 L L D L L
Kick-off
Sun 17 May · 12:30
2:3
Full-time
Excelsior
Excelsior
D W W D W Away · last 5
Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel · Rotterdam Referee A. Lindhout

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · SPA
51%
Best 2.03
Draw
22%
Best 4.00
Away Win · EXC
26%
Best 3.40
Value pick
BTTS No
@ 2.81
Fair odds
2.45
book 2.81 · +14.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
—
Pick confidence
Medium
p 41% · EV +14.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — BTTS Yes is more likely (59%), but BTTS No is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 51.4%
Odds 2.04
Show model details
Implied probability 49%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 22.3%
Odds 4.16
Show model details
Implied probability 24%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 26.3%
Odds 3.30
Show model details
Implied probability 30.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 63.3%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 42.9%
Odds 2.70
Show model details
Implied probability 37%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 36.7%
Odds 2.08
Show model details
Implied probability 48.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 20.9%
Odds 6.00
Show model details
Implied probability 16.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 57.2%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 5.7%
Odds 21.00
Show model details
Implied probability 4.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.3%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 79.1%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 40.9%
Odds 2.81
Show model details
Implied probability 35.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 59.1%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 26.3%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 51.4%
Odds 1.58
Show model details
Implied probability 63.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 48.6%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 73.7%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS No
SPA – EXC @ 2.81
+14.8%
Edge
Forecast →