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Prognosist
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⚽ Football 57 + Value 23 📈 Forecasts
Football Netherlands Eredivisie NAC Breda — Heerenveen
Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
NAC Breda
NAC Breda
Home · last 5 D L L W D
Kick-off
Mon 11 May · 12:30
2:0
Full-time
Heerenveen
Heerenveen
W W L D L Away · last 5
Rat Verlegh Stadion · Breda Referee S. van der Eijk
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 63% · book 1.73
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 46% · book 2.64
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 42% · book 2.57
Total goals
2
2 · 0
xG (open play)
1.62 – 0.61
Δ +1.01
Possession
48% – 52%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.73 — +8.8% better than the market.

Heerenveen enters this clash with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand despite playing away. NAC Breda’s defensive solidity at home could keep the scoreline tight, but their struggles in attack against a sharper Heerenveen defense hint at a challenging night. Expect a controlled tempo with limited goal-scoring bursts given the moderate pace implied by odds.

  • Heerenveen’s offensive edge vs NAC’s defense
  • Home side’s recent poor form and low scoring
  • Moderate pace favoring tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5
Under 3.5 @ 1.73 ✓ Cashed
AI 63% Implied 58% +0.73u
+73%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

BRE 20 HEE
48%
Possession (%)
52%
1.62
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.61
19
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
2
7
Shots off Target
2
11
Shots Inside Box
9
7
Corner Kicks
3
0
Offsides
3
10
Fouls
13
71%
Pass Accuracy (%)
75%
1
Yellow Cards
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.73 63% Cashed +0.73 Cashed
Away Win 2.64 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.57 42% Cashed +1.57 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.97 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.15 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.50 31% Cashed +1.50 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.88 31% Cashed +0.88 Cashed
BTTS No 2.86 40% Cashed +1.86 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.54 69% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 5.60 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.40 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.40 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.50 54% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Under 0.5 18.00 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.02 94% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Draw 3.90 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.08 80% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −1.86u −11% ROI
Best bet of the night · Under 3.5
BRE – HEE @ 1.73
+8.8%
Edge
Forecast →