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Home Netherlands Eredivisie NAC Breda — Heerenveen

Predictions NAC Breda vs Heerenveen May 11, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
NAC Breda
NAC Breda
Home · last 5 D L L W D
Kick-off
Mon 11 May · 12:30
2:0
Full-time
Heerenveen
Heerenveen
W W L D L Away · last 5
Rat Verlegh Stadion · Breda Referee S. van der Eijk
Home Win · BRE
31%
Best 2.50
Draw
23%
Best 3.90
Away Win · HEE
46%
Best 2.64
Value pick
BTTS No
@ 2.86
Fair odds
2.50
book 2.86 · +14.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
3
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 40% · EV +14.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — BTTS Yes is more likely (60%), but BTTS No is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Best in group
Probability 45.6%
Odds 2.64
Show model details
Implied probability 37.9%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win
Probability 31%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 23.4%
Odds 3.90
Show model details
Implied probability 25.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 62.9%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality High
Under 2.5
Probability 41.7%
Odds 2.57
Show model details
Implied probability 38.9%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5
Probability 37.1%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 20%
Odds 5.60
Show model details
Implied probability 17.9%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 58.3%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 5.8%
Odds 18.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.2%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 80.1%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 40%
Odds 2.86
Show model details
Implied probability 35%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 60%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 45.6%
Odds 1.97
Show model details
Implied probability 50.8%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 31%
Odds 1.88
Show model details
Implied probability 53.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 69%
Odds 1.54
Show model details
Implied probability 64.9%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X
Probability 54.4%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS No
BRE – HEE @ 2.86
+14.5%
Edge
Forecast →