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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Netherlands Eredivisie AZ Alkmaar — Heracles

Match AZ Alkmaar vs Heracles March 15, 2026

AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
Home · last 5 W D D D D
Kick-off
Sun 15 Mar · 13:30
4:0
Full-time
Heracles
Heracles
L L L L L Away · last 5
AFAS Stadion · Alkmaar Referee R. Hensgens
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 40% · book 2.65
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 62% · book 1.66
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 46% · book 2.17
Total goals
4
4 · 0
xG (open play)
3.28 – 0.66
Δ +2.62
Possession
52% – 48%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AZ Alkmaar holds a clear quality edge over Heracles, backed by stronger offensive and defensive metrics. The home side's recent form shows resilience with a solid mix of wins and draws, while Heracles struggles for consistency. AZ's home momentum and superior tactical setup suggest they will control the game's pace, likely limiting Heracles' attacking threat.

  • Home advantage with a compact defensive block
  • Effective pressing and set-piece threat from AZ
  • Heracles' difficulty breaking down organized defenses

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

ALK 40 HER
52%
Possession (%)
48%
3.28
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.66
15
Total Shots
6
7
Shots on Target
2
5
Shots off Target
1
12
Shots Inside Box
3
7
Corner Kicks
3
3
Offsides
1
10
Fouls
19
81%
Pass Accuracy (%)
78%
0
Yellow Cards
4
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.65 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.66 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.17 46% Cashed +1.17 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.60 60% Cashed +0.60 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.76 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.45 38% Cashed +1.45 Cashed
Home Win 1.45 71% Cashed +0.45 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.12 90% Cashed +0.12 Cashed
Double Chance X2 3.00 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.16 71% Cashed +0.16 Cashed
Under 1.5 5.75 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.04 95% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Draw 5.00 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.19 82% Cashed +0.19 Cashed
Under 0.5 17.00 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 7.50 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 5.30 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −4.82u −28% ROI