P
Prognosist
P
⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Netherlands Eredivisie Fortuna Sittard — AZ Alkmaar

Match Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar December 21, 2025

Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard
Home · last 5 D L L W L
Kick-off
Sun 21 Dec · 15:45
4:3
Full-time
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
W D D D D Away · last 5
Fortuna Sittard Stadion · Sittard Referee Marc Nagtegaal, Netherlands
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 60% · book 1.85
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 61% · book 1.63
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 39% · book 2.55
Total goals
7
4 · 3
xG (open play)
1.38 – 3.79
Δ −2.41
Possession
34% – 66%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AZ Alkmaar enters this clash with a clear quality edge and a stronger offensive profile, suggesting they can break down Fortuna Sittard’s compact defensive block. Despite Fortuna’s recent home momentum, their defensive struggles and AZ’s pressing edge could tilt the balance. Both teams have shown mixed form, but AZ’s ability to control the pace and exploit set-piece chances may prove decisive.

  • AZ’s superior attacking threat against a leaky defense
  • Fortuna’s home resilience but recent inconsistency
  • Moderate tempo hints at a balanced but open game

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

SIT 43 ALK
34%
Possession (%)
66%
1.38
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
3.79
15
Total Shots
21
6
Shots on Target
9
4
Shots off Target
7
9
Shots Inside Box
17
5
Corner Kicks
8
2
Offsides
0
18
Fouls
11
67%
Pass Accuracy (%)
88%
3
Yellow Cards
0
5
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 1.85 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.63 61% Cashed +0.63 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.55 39% Cashed +1.55 Cashed
BTTS No 2.45 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.45 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 2.02 40% Cashed +1.02 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.40 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.27 83% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.57 61% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.58 61% Cashed +0.58 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.04 95% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.20 82% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Under 1.5 5.25 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.10 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 17.00 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 3.10 17% Cashed +2.10 Cashed
Home Win 4.20 17% Cashed +3.20 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +0.32u +2% ROI