P
Prognosist
P
Home › Netherlands › Eredivisie › Fortuna Sittard — AZ Alkmaar

Predictions by Market: Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard
Home · last 5 D L L W L
Kick-off
Sun 21 Dec · 15:45
4:3
Full-time
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
W D D D D Away · last 5
Fortuna Sittard Stadion · Sitard Referee Marc Nagtegaal, Netherlands

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · SIT
17%
Best 4.80
Draw
23%
Best 4.10
Away Win · ALK
60%
Best 1.64
Value pick
Away Win
@ 1.85
Fair odds
1.67
book 1.85 · +11.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 60% · EV +11.1%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 60.1%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality High
✓ Draw
Probability 22.7%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 17.3%
Odds 4.20
Show model details
Implied probability 23.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 60.7%
Odds 1.63
Show model details
Implied probability 61.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 38.6%
Odds 2.55
Show model details
Implied probability 39.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 39.3%
Odds 2.45
Show model details
Implied probability 40.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 61.4%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.9%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 18.1%
Odds 5.25
Show model details
Implied probability 19.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 5.1%
Odds 17.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 39.4%
Odds 2.45
Show model details
Implied probability 40.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 60.6%
Odds 1.58
Show model details
Implied probability 63.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 60.1%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 17.3%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 39.9%
Odds 2.02
Show model details
Implied probability 49.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 82.8%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
SIT – ALK @ 1.85
+11.1%
Edge
Forecast →