Match Liverpool vs Tottenham March 15, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.75 — +10.2% better than the market.

Liverpool arrive with clear home momentum, having won three of their last five, while Tottenham struggle with a five-game losing streak. Liverpool's superior quality and pressing edge at Anfield should test Tottenham's defensive resilience. Expect a controlled pace with Liverpool exploiting their attacking advantage against a vulnerable defense.

Home side's recent form suggests growing confidence.
Tottenham's defensive frailties could be exposed.
Moderate tempo likely favors Liverpool's structured attack.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.75 ✓ Cashed

AI 63% Implied 57% +0.75u

+75%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

LIV 4-2-3-1 · TOT 4-4-2

LIV · 4-2-3-1 4-4-2 · TOT

18 Gakpo

Subs used · LIV

64'

Salah ↑ ·

Frimpong ↓

64'

Jones ↑ ·

Wirtz ↓

64'

Ekitike ↑ ·

Ngumoha ↓

83'

Nyoni ↑ ·

Gakpo ↓

90+1'

Chiesa ↑ ·

Mac Allister ↓

Subs used · TOT

56'

Simons ↑ ·

Souza ↓

75'

Kolo Muani ↑ ·

Tel ↓

76'

Olusesi ↑ ·

Spence ↓

90+6'

Rowswell ↑ ·

Richarlison ↓

📊 Statistics

LIV 1 – 1 TOT

63%

Possession (%)

37%

1.58

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.14

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

84%

Pass Accuracy (%)

73%

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

11 · 1 – 1

D. Szoboszlai

1–0

⚽

18'

Half-time · 1 – 0

56'

⇄

X. Simons ↓ · Souza ↑

Substitution 1

M. Salah ↓ · J. Frimpong ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

64'

C. Jones ↓ · F. Wirtz ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

64'

H. Ekitike ↓ · R. Ngumoha ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

64'

75'

⇄

R. Kolo Muani ↓ · M. Tel ↑

Substitution 2

76'

⇄

C. Olusesi ↓ · D. Spence ↑

Substitution 3

T. Nyoni ↓ · C. Gakpo ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

83'

90'

⚽

Richarlison

Assist · R. Kolo Muani · 1–1

F. Chiesa ↓ · A. Mac Allister ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

90+1'

90+6'

⇄

J. Rowswell ↓ · Richarlison ↑

Substitution 4

Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Liverpool and Tottenham drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 63% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 84% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 13, 4 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves.

On the scoresheet: D. Szoboszlai (18'), Richarlison (90').

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net +3.24 units (Brier 0.258).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	1.75	—	63%	Cashed	+0.75	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.75	—	41%	Cashed	+1.75	Cashed
BTTS No	2.13	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.77	—	53%	Cashed	+0.77	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.25	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	5.50	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.36	—	75%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.10	—	92%	Cashed	+0.10	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.46	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.12	—	75%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	6.12	—	17%	Cashed	+5.12	Cashed
Double Chance X2	3.61	—	25%	Cashed	+2.61	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.14	—	80%	Cashed	+0.14	Cashed
Away Win	8.60	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	6.40	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 8 L	+3.24u	+22% ROI