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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Netherlands Eredivisie Sparta Rotterdam — Ajax

Match Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax October 4, 2025

Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam
Home · last 5 L L D L L
Kick-off
Sat 04 Oct · 14:30
3:3
Full-time
Ajax
Ajax
D L D W D Away · last 5
Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel · Rotterdam Referee Bas Nijhuis, Netherlands
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 55% · book 1.95
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 77% · book 1.29
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 61% · book 1.60
Total goals
6
3 · 3
xG (open play)
1.88 – 1.67
Δ +0.21
Possession
33% – 67%
AI accuracy
5 / 7
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax: Ajax hold a clear advantage in overall level and recent output, even away from home. Sparta’s willingness to play can open lanes for Ajax to generate pressure and sustained chance volume. The hosts still carry a route via set-pieces and transitions, but baseline modeling tilts to the visitors with a modest lean to higher totals driven by Ajax’s attacking quality.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

SPA 33 AJA
33%
Possession (%)
67%
1.88
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.67
14
Total Shots
17
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Shots off Target
7
8
Shots Inside Box
10
6
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
1
8
Fouls
9
76%
Pass Accuracy (%)
88%
1
Yellow Cards
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Bet recap · markets settled

7 · 5 W · 2 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 1.95 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.29 77% Cashed +0.29 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.60 61% Cashed +0.60 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.55 38% Cashed +1.55 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.60 57% Cashed +0.60 Cashed
Draw 4.02 22% Cashed +3.02 Cashed
Home Win 3.87 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 7 markets @ 1u each 5 W · 2 L +4.06u +58% ROI