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Home Netherlands Eredivisie Sparta Rotterdam — Ajax

Predictions Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax October 4, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam
Home · last 5 L L D L L
Kick-off
Sat 04 Oct · 14:30
3:3
Full-time
Ajax
Ajax
D L D W D Away · last 5
Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel · Rotterdam Referee Bas Nijhuis, Netherlands
Home Win · SPA
23%
Best 4.33
Draw
22%
Best 4.00
Away Win · AJA
55%
Best 1.70
Value pick
Away Win
@ 1.95
Fair odds
1.82
book 1.95 · +7.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 55% · EV +7.3%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 55%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 22%
Odds 4.02
Show model details
Implied probability 24.9%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 23%
Odds 3.87
Show model details
Implied probability 25.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 2 markets
Over 2.5 Best in group
Probability 61%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 38%
Odds 2.55
Show model details
Implied probability 39.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 1 market
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 57%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 1 market
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 77%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.