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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Portugal Primeira Liga Estoril — Benfica

Match Estoril vs Benfica May 16, 2026

Estoril
Estoril
Home · last 5 L L D D L
Kick-off
Sat 16 May · 19:30
1:3
Full-time
Benfica
Benfica
W W D D W Away · last 5
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota · Estoril Referee M. Nogueira
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 56% · book 1.84
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 58% · book 1.67
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 42% · book 2.17
Total goals
4
1 · 3
xG (open play)
1.59 – 4.22
Δ −2.63
Possession
48% – 52%
AI accuracy
7 / 15
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Benfica enters this clash with a clear quality edge and recent winning momentum, despite Estoril's slightly better overall form points per game. The visitors' potent attack faces a home defense that has struggled lately, suggesting Benfica's offensive pressure could pay dividends. However, Estoril's home resilience and compact block might limit the scoring, hinting at a moderately paced game with chances for both sides.

  • Benfica's attacking threat vs Estoril's defensive vulnerabilities
  • Home side's recent form dip but solid home presence
  • Moderate tempo expected, favoring tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

EST 4-4-2 · BEN 4-2-3-1
Subs used · EST
46' Boma ↑ · Ferro
46' Amaral ↑ · Costa
58' Guitane ↑ · Pizzi
68' Peixinho ↑ · Lacximicant
78' Lominadze ↑ · Xeka
Subs used · BEN
68' Dedic ↑ · Bah
68' Barreiro ↑ · Silva
68' Lukebakio ↑ · Prestianni
80' Manu ↑ · Aursnes
84' Bruma ↑ · Schjelderup

📊 Statistics

EST 13 BEN
48%
Possession (%)
52%
1.59
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
4.22
16
Total Shots
19
6
Shots on Target
8
8
Shots off Target
7
12
Shots Inside Box
15
2
Corner Kicks
9
1
Offsides
2
9
Fouls
12
83%
Pass Accuracy (%)
85%
3
Yellow Cards
2
4
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match events

19 · 1 – 3
7'
R. Rios
0–1
15'
A. Bah
Assist · T. Araujo · 0–2
16'
Rafa Silva
Assist · G. Prestianni · 0–3
G. Costa
Yellow Card
22'
Half-time · 0 – 3
K. Boma ↓ · Ferro ↑
Substitution 1
46'
P. Amaral ↓ · G. Costa ↑
Substitution 2
46'
47'
A. Bah
Yellow Card
A. Lacximicant
Yellow Card
52'
R. Guitane ↓ · Pizzi ↑
Substitution 3
58'
R. Guitane
Yellow Card
65'
68'
G. Prestianni
Yellow Card
68'
A. Dedic ↓ · A. Bah ↑
Substitution 1
68'
L. Barreiro ↓ · Rafa Silva ↑
Substitution 2
68'
D. Lukebakio ↓ · G. Prestianni ↑
Substitution 3
Peixinho ↓ · A. Lacximicant ↑
Substitution 4
68'
N. Lominadze ↓ · Xeka ↑
Substitution 5
78'
80'
Manu ↓ · F. Aursnes ↑
Substitution 4
84'
Bruma ↓ · A. Schjelderup ↑
Substitution 5
Peixinho
Assist · K. Boma · 1–3
90+1'
Full-time · 1 – 3

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.84 1.80 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.67 1.72 58% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
BTTS No 2.17 2.03 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.05 1.99 44% Cashed +1.05 Cashed
Draw 6.00 6.25 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.08 1.05 91% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.88 2.89 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 1.27 1.23 77% Cashed +0.27 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.40 1.36 66% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.11 1.08 73% Cashed +0.11 Cashed
Under 1.5 6.50 6.21 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.11 1.08 85% Cashed +0.11 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 3.44 3.83 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 8.40 10.20 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 6.60 7.09 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each 7 W · 8 L −5.31u −35% ROI