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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Estoril — Benfica

Predictions Estoril vs Benfica May 16, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Estoril
Estoril
Home · last 5 L L D D L
Kick-off
Sat 16 May · 19:30
1:3
Full-time
Benfica
Benfica
W W D D W Away · last 5
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota · Estoril Referee M. Nogueira
Home Win · EST
9%
Best 11.40
Draw
18%
Best 7.21
Away Win · BEN
77%
Best 1.27
Value pick
Under 3.5
@ 1.84
Fair odds
1.80
book 1.84 · +2.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 56% · EV +2.4%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Draw
Probability 18.1%
Odds 6.00
Show model details
Implied probability 16.7%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win Top pick
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win
Probability 8.6%
Odds 8.40
Show model details
Implied probability 11.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
Under 3.5
Probability 55.7%
Odds 1.84
Show model details
Implied probability 54.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 44.3%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 34.4%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 65.6%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 15.5%
Odds 6.50
Show model details
Implied probability 15.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 84.6%
Odds 1.11
Show model details
Implied probability 90.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 58%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 42%
Odds 2.17
Show model details
Implied probability 46.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 73.3%
Odds 1.11
Show model details
Implied probability 90.1%
Bet quality Medium
AH Home 0
Probability 8.6%
Odds 6.60
Show model details
Implied probability 15.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 91.4%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X
Probability 26.7%
Odds 3.44
Show model details
Implied probability 29.1%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.