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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Nacional — Guimaraes

Match Nacional vs Guimaraes May 16, 2026

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga
Nacional
Nacional
Home · last 5 W W L L W
Kick-off
Sat 16 May · 17:00
2:0
Full-time
Guimaraes
Guimaraes
W W L L L Away · last 5
Referee R. Baixinho
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 61% · book 1.81 ✗
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 52% · book 2.09 ✓
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 48% · book 2.20 ✓
Total goals
2
2 · 0
xG (open play)
0.93 – 1.38
Δ −0.45
Possession
35% – 65%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Primeira Liga Preview: Nacional vs Guimaraes

Guimaraes holds a clear quality edge and a slight away attacking advantage against Nacional's defense, suggesting they can press effectively despite the away setting. Nacional's home edge is modest, hinting at a balanced but cautious approach. Both sides show similar recent form, with Guimaraes slightly more consistent. Expect a compact game with moderate pace, leaning towards a tight scoreline given the defensive solidity and under 2.5 goals odds.

  • Guimaraes' stronger overall quality and attacking threat
  • Nacional's home resilience and defensive organization
  • Moderate tempo likely favoring tactical discipline over open play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

NAC 4-3-3 · GUI 4-2-3-1
NAC · 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · GUI 1 Kaique 16 Núñez 34 Santos 38 Vitor 5 Gomes 22 Soares 6 Dias 15 Labidi 7 Quembo 9 Ramírez ⚽ 11 Bóia 27 Charles 2 Maga 28 Balieiro 26 Abascal 82 Dias 30 Nogueira 80 Rocha 18 Arcanjo 20 Samu ⚽ 19 Camara 11 Silva
Subs used · NAC
70' Ruan ↑ · Witi ↓
90+1' Sousa ↑ · Labidi ↓
90+1' Goncalves ↑ · Soares ↓
90+3' Aurelio ↑ · Boia ↓
Subs used · GUI
62' Saviolo ↑ · Camara ↓
80' Nunes ↑ · Rocha ↓
80' Zeega ↑ · Samu ↓
80' Nogueira ↑ · Arcanjo ↓

📊 Statistics

NAC 2 – 0 GUI
35%
Possession (%)
65%
0.93
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.38
5
Total Shots
13
3
Shots on Target
4
1
Shots off Target
5
3
Shots Inside Box
8
2
Corner Kicks
6
1
Offsides
2
17
Fouls
13
68%
Pass Accuracy (%)
83%
4
Yellow Cards
3
5
Goalkeeper Saves
1

⏱ Match events

18 · 2 – 0
14'
▮
R. Rocha
Yellow Card
Jose Gomes
Yellow Card
▮
25'
Witi
Yellow Card
▮
32'
F. Soares
Yellow Card
▮
32'
32'
▮
F. Dias
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
Matheus Dias
Yellow Card
▮
54'
62'
⇄
N. Saviolo ↓ · O. Camara ↑
Substitution 1
J. Ramirez
Assist · Witi · 1–0
⚽
69'
Pablo Ruan ↓ · Witi ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
70'
78'
⚽
Samu (P)
Penalty · Assist · Samu · 1–1
80'
⇄
H. Nunes ↓ · R. Rocha ↑
Substitution 2
80'
⇄
Zeega ↓ · Samu ↑
Substitution 3
80'
⇄
M. Nogueira ↓ · T. Arcanjo ↑
Substitution 4
84'
▮
Zeega
Yellow Card
J. Ramirez (P)
Penalty · 2–1
⚽
86'
A. Sousa ↓ · C. Labidi ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
90+1'
C. Goncalves ↓ · F. Soares ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
90+1'
J. Aurelio ↓ · Paulinho Boia ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
90+3'
Full-time · 2 – 0

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 1.81 1.69 61% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.09 2.03 52% Cashed +1.09 Cashed
BTTS No 2.20 2.13 48% Cashed +1.20 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.77 2.44 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.81 1.80 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.62 1.64 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.07 2.15 39% Cashed +1.07 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.75 2.80 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.87 3.38 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.00 4.00 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.40 1.40 73% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.30 1.33 65% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
Under 0.5 13.00 12.05 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.04 1.03 92% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Draw 3.50 3.30 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.49 1.57 39% Cashed +0.49 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.22 1.22 72% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −4.19u −25% ROI