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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Portugal Primeira Liga Nacional — Alverca

Match Nacional vs Alverca April 18, 2026

Nacional
Nacional
Home · last 5 W W L L W
Kick-off
Sat 18 Apr · 14:30
1:0
Full-time
Alverca
Alverca
L W L D L Away · last 5
Referee Miguel Nogueira, Portugal
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 65% · book 1.67
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 55% · book 1.97
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 50% · book 2.10
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
1.03 – 0.47
Δ +0.56
Possession
50% – 50%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Nacional hosts Alverca in a clash where the visitors hold a slight quality edge and better recent form. Nacional’s defensive solidity faces a probing Alverca attack, suggesting a tactical battle with few clear-cut chances. The home side’s compact block and set-piece threat contrast with Alverca’s pressing edge and sharper offensive transitions.

  • Alverca’s momentum and higher efficiency could test Nacional’s resilience.
  • Home defensive organization may limit goal opportunities.
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring a cautious approach.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

NAC 4-3-3 · ALV 3-4-3
Subs used · NAC
63' Soares ↑ · Junior
87' Dias ↑ · Veron
90+3' Aurelio ↑ · Liziero
90+3' Ruan ↑ · Ramirez
Subs used · ALV
46' Gui ↑ · Rhaldney
75' Marezi ↑ · Lima
75' Clairicia ↑ · Figueiredo
75' Moreira ↑ · Lincoln
88' Kassary ↑ · Chiquinho

📊 Statistics

NAC 10 ALV
50%
Possession (%)
50%
1.03
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.47
10
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
4
4
Shots off Target
2
6
Shots Inside Box
5
4
Corner Kicks
8
0
Offsides
1
15
Fouls
15
81%
Pass Accuracy (%)
81%
2
Yellow Cards
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match events

13 · 1 – 0
38'
Rhaldney
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
46'
D. Gui ↓ · Rhaldney ↑
Substitution 1
F. Soares ↓ · Daniel Junior ↑
Substitution 1
63'
J. Ramirez
Assist · Jose Gomes · 1–0
67'
75'
Marezi ↓ · Sandro Lima ↑
Substitution 2
75'
M. Clairicia ↓ · Figueiredo ↑
Substitution 3
75'
V. Moreira ↓ · Lincoln ↑
Substitution 4
Chiheb Labidi
Yellow Card
78'
Gabriel Veron
Yellow Card
87'
Matheus Dias ↓ · Gabriel Veron ↑
Substitution 2
87'
88'
Z. Kassary ↓ · Chiquinho ↑
Substitution 5
J. Aurelio ↓ · Liziero ↑
Substitution 3
90+3'
Pablo Ruan ↓ · J. Ramirez ↑
Substitution 4
90+3'
Full-time · 1 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 1.67 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.97 55% Cashed +0.97 Cashed
BTTS No 2.10 50% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.35 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.92 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.71 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.28 35% Cashed +1.28 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.62 35% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
Away Win 3.26 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.75 30% Cashed +2.75 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.38 61% Cashed +0.38 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.37 76% Cashed +0.37 Cashed
Under 0.5 11.00 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.06 91% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Draw 3.50 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.30 70% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.25 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −1.47u −9% ROI