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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Rio Ave — Nacional

Preview Rio Ave vs Nacional October 11, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Rio Ave
Rio Ave
Home · last 5 L L W
Kick-off
Sun 11 Oct · 15:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Nacional
Nacional
D W L Away · last 5
Home Win · RIO
%
Best
Draw
%
Best
Away Win · NAC
%
Best
AI preview · 90 sec read

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Rio Ave
W/D/L 1-1-3
Goals (for / against) 4 / 8
Avg goals / match 2.4
Scored in 3/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 1/5
Home (W-D-L) 0-0-2
Away (W-D-L) 1-1-1
xG (for / against) 0.58 / 1.71
Nacional
W/D/L 2-1-2
Goals (for / against) 6 / 5
Avg goals / match 2.2
Scored in 3/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 1/5
Over 2.5 1/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-0-0
Away (W-D-L) 0-1-2
xG (for / against) 1.05 / 1.63

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
0.67
Goals Scored
1.33
1
Goals Conceded
1
0.53
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
2
Shots on Target
2.33
3.67
Corners
4.67
43
Possession (%)
53
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
12
OFF · home
71
18
DEF · home
76
6
OFF · away
29
53
DEF · away
12
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Rio Ave wins when scoring first
50%
Nacional wins when scoring first
83%
Rio Ave BTTS rate · last 10
40%
Nacional BTTS rate · last 10
20%
Rio Ave Over 2.5 · last 10
30%
Nacional Over 2.5 · last 10
20%
Rio Ave comeback rate · last 10
0%
Nacional comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

Rio Ave · last 10 at home

0–15 14%
16–30 29%
31–45 14%
46–60 29%
61–75 0%
76–90 14%

Nacional · last 10 away

0–15 0%
16–30 33%
31–45 33%
46–60 0%
61–75 17%
76–90 17%
First-half-heavy — over half the goals before the break.

Top scorers

J. Blesa
RIO · Attacker
1 G · 0.34 g/90
Tamble Monteiro
RIO · Attacker
1 G · 0.41 g/90
Miguel Baeza
NAC · Attacker
1 G · 0.46 g/90
Léo Santos
NAC · Defender
1 G · 0.33 g/90