Model verdict
Model leans toward Under 2.5 goals — 65% probability.
Also rated highly: both teams not to score 59%.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 38% | Nacional win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 65% | Under 2.5 |
| BTTS | 59% | No |
| Double Chance | 65% | X2 |
- 1X2 Nacional win 38%
- Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 65%
- BTTS No 59%
- Double Chance X2 65%
Odds movement · 1X2
72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Rio Ave
W/D/L
1-1-3
Goals (for / against)
5 / 12
Avg goals / match
3.4
Scored in
2/5
Clean sheets
1/5
Both teams scored
1/5
Over 2.5
3/5
Home (W-D-L)
0-1-1
Away (W-D-L)
1-0-2
xG (for / against)
0.59 / 1.52
Nacional
W/D/L
0-0-5
Goals (for / against)
3 / 13
Avg goals / match
3.2
Scored in
2/5
Clean sheets
0/5
Both teams scored
2/5
Over 2.5
3/5
Home (W-D-L)
0-0-3
Away (W-D-L)
0-0-2
xG (for / against)
0.63 / 2.62
Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
Scenario insights
①
Rio Ave wins when scoring first
50%
①
Nacional wins when scoring first
50%
⚽
Rio Ave BTTS rate · last 10
30%
⚽
Nacional BTTS rate · last 10
40%
↑
Rio Ave Over 2.5 · last 10
40%
↑
Nacional Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
↩
Rio Ave comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Nacional comeback rate · last 10
0%
Goal timing
Rio Ave · last 10 at home
0–15
10%
16–30
20%
31–45
20%
46–60
30%
61–75
0%
76–90
20%
Nacional · last 10 away
0–15
0%
16–30
20%
31–45
40%
46–60
0%
61–75
20%
76–90
20%
Balanced — goals spread evenly across the match.
