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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Rio Ave — Nacional

Predictions by Market: Rio Ave vs Nacional

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
Home · last 5 W L L D L
Kick-off
Sun 11 Oct · 14:30
—:—
Pre-match · scheduled
Nacional
Nacional
L L L L L Away · last 5
Estádio dos Arcos · Condi Town Referee Carlos Macedo

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · RIO
35%
Best 2.14
Draw
27%
Best 3.56
Away Win · NAC
38%
Best 3.60
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 1.74
Fair odds
1.54
book 1.74 · +12.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 65% · EV +12.9%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win
Probability 34.7%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 38.1%
Odds 3.23
Show model details
Implied probability 31%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 27.2%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 64.9%
Odds 1.74
Show model details
Implied probability 57.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 35.1%
Odds 2.12
Show model details
Implied probability 47.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 39.4%
Odds 3.15
Show model details
Implied probability 31.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 17.5%
Odds 9.05
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5 Top pick
Probability 84.7%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 0.5
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 60.6%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 15.3%
Odds 3.67
Show model details
Implied probability 27.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Value pick
Probability 58.7%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 41.3%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 38.1%
Odds 2.33
Show model details
Implied probability 42.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 34.7%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 65.3%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.2%
Bet quality High
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 61.9%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
RIO – NAC @ 1.74
+12.9%
Edge
Forecast →