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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Rio Ave — Estrela

Match Rio Ave vs Estrela March 15, 2026

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
Home · last 5 D L D L D
Kick-off
Sun 15 Mar · 18:00
2:1
Full-time
Estrela
Estrela
L L L D D Away · last 5
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube · Vila do Conde Referee Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo, Portugal
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 56% · book 2.08 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 62% · book 1.84 ✗
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 66% · book 1.65 ✗
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
2.75 – 1.34
Δ +1.41
Possession
44% – 56%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.84 — +13.7% better than the market.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.84 ✗ Lost
AI 62% Implied 54% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

RIO 4-2-3-1 · EST 4-2-3-1
RIO · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · EST 99 Gouw 17 Vrousai 32 Brabec 39 Mancha 6 Abbey 44 Nikitscher 5 Ndoj 7 Bezerra 80 Pohlmann 18 Špikić 11 Blesa ⚽ 40 Ribeiro 21 Scholze 30 Patrick 83 Otavio 24 Langa 6 Jansson 19 Moreira 99 Marcus 11 Cabral 10 Stoica 9 Pinho ⚽
Subs used · RIO
58' Guilherme ↑ · Pohlmann ↓
75' Tome ↑ · Spikic ↓
75' Monteiro ↑ · Abbey ↓
88' Liavas ↑ · Bezerra ↓
89' Petrasso ↑ · Blesa ↓
Subs used · EST
54' Robinho ↑ · Stoica ↓
54' Doue ↑ · Otavio ↓
83' Antonetti ↑ · Scholze ↓
89' Kalley ↑ · Langa ↓
89' Moustier ↑ · Patrick ↓

📊 Statistics

RIO 2 – 1 EST
44%
Possession (%)
56%
2.75
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.34
18
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Target
3
3
Shots off Target
6
12
Shots Inside Box
5
10
Corner Kicks
4
0
Offsides
1
16
Fouls
12
83%
Pass Accuracy (%)
84%
4
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4

⏱ Match events

19 · 2 – 1
Jakub Brabec
Yellow Card
▮
8'
15'
▮
Max Scholze
Yellow Card
J. Blesa
Assist · D. Spikic · 1–0
⚽
27'
Ole Pohlmann
Yellow Card
▮
45+1'
Half-time · 1 – 0
J. Blesa
Assist · D. Spikic · 2–0
⚽
48'
54'
⇄
Robinho ↓ · I. Stoica ↑
Substitution 1
54'
⇄
G. Doue ↓ · Otavio ↑
Substitution 2
Ryan Guilherme ↓ · O. Pohlmann ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
58'
65'
⚽
Rodrigo Pinho
Assist · Robinho · 2–1
Ennio Van Der Gouw
Yellow Card
▮
67'
Ryan Guilherme
Yellow Card
▮
68'
J. Tome ↓ · D. Spikic ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
75'
T. Monteiro ↓ · N. Abbey ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
75'
80'
▮
Eddy Doué
Yellow Card
83'
⇄
L. Antonetti ↓ · M. Scholze ↑
Substitution 3
G. Liavas ↓ · Diogo Bezerra ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
88'
F. Petrasso ↓ · J. Blesa ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
89'
89'
⇄
Y. Kalley ↓ · B. Langa ↑
Substitution 4
89'
⇄
T. Moustier ↓ · Luan Patrick ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 2 – 1

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 2.08 — 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.84 — 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.65 — 66% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.30 — 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.87 — 44% Cashed +0.87 Cashed
Home Win 2.45 — 34% Cashed +1.45 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.12 — 38% Cashed +1.12 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.69 — 34% Cashed +0.69 Cashed
Away Win 3.17 — 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.45 — 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 10.00 — 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.32 — 80% Cashed +0.32 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.39 — 60% Cashed +0.39 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.08 — 88% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
Draw 3.47 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.35 — 64% Cashed +0.35 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.65 — 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −3.73u −22% ROI
Best bet of the night · Under 2.5
RIO – EST @ 1.84
+13.7%
Edge
Forecast →