P
Prognosist
P
Home Portugal Primeira Liga Rio Ave — Estrela

Predictions Rio Ave vs Estrela March 15, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
Home · last 5 D L D L D
Kick-off
Sun 15 Mar · 18:00
2:1
Full-time
Estrela
Estrela
L L L D D Away · last 5
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube · Vila do Conde Referee Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo, Portugal
Home Win · RIO
34%
Best 2.32
Draw
27%
Best 3.20
Away Win · EST
40%
Best 3.05
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 1.84
Fair odds
1.62
book 1.84 · +13.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 62% · EV +13.7%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win
Probability 33.6%
Odds 2.45
Show model details
Implied probability 40.8%
Bet quality Low
Away Win Best in group
Probability 39.8%
Odds 3.17
Show model details
Implied probability 31.6%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 26.6%
Odds 3.47
Show model details
Implied probability 28.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 61.8%
Odds 1.84
Show model details
Implied probability 54.4%
Bet quality High
Over 2.5
Probability 38.2%
Odds 2.12
Show model details
Implied probability 47.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 35.6%
Odds 3.45
Show model details
Implied probability 29%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5
Probability 12.1%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 80.4%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Medium
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 87.9%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 64.4%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 19.7%
Odds 3.65
Show model details
Implied probability 27.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Value pick
Probability 55.8%
Odds 2.08
Show model details
Implied probability 48.1%
Bet quality High
BTTS Yes
Probability 44.2%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 39.8%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 33.6%
Odds 1.69
Show model details
Implied probability 59.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 66.4%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality High
Double Chance 1X
Probability 60.2%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 71.9%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
RIO – EST @ 1.84
+13.7%
Edge
Forecast →