P
Prognosist
P
Home Portugal Primeira Liga Tondela — Rio Ave

Predictions Tondela vs Rio Ave March 9, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Tondela
Tondela
Home · last 5 L D W W L
Kick-off
Mon 09 Mar · 20:15
0:1
Full-time
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
D L D L D Away · last 5
Estádio João Cardoso · Tondela Referee Helder Malheiro, Portugal
Home Win · TON
38%
Best 2.14
Draw
27%
Best 3.28
Away Win · RIO
34%
Best 3.48
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 1.80
Fair odds
1.59
book 1.80 · +13.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 63% · EV +13.1%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 38.4%
Odds 2.14
Show model details
Implied probability 46.7%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 34.4%
Odds 3.81
Show model details
Implied probability 26.3%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 27.3%
Odds 3.34
Show model details
Implied probability 29.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 62.9%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality High
Over 2.5
Probability 37.2%
Odds 2.11
Show model details
Implied probability 47.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 37.1%
Odds 3.28
Show model details
Implied probability 30.5%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5
Probability 13%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 81.2%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Medium
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 87%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 62.9%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 18.8%
Odds 3.70
Show model details
Implied probability 27%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Value pick
Probability 57.9%
Odds 1.99
Show model details
Implied probability 50.3%
Bet quality High
BTTS Yes
Probability 42.1%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 34.4%
Odds 2.73
Show model details
Implied probability 36.6%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 38.4%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 61.6%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality High
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 65.6%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
TON – RIO @ 1.80
+13.1%
Edge
Forecast →