Bournemouth vs Sunderland 1:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 0.5 at 14.00 — +13.0% better than the market.

Bournemouth enter this clash with clear home momentum, boasting a solid recent run and a notable edge in quality and attacking threat. Their offensive prowess contrasts with Sunderland's defensive struggles, suggesting Bournemouth can control the game tempo at Vitality Stadium. Sunderland’s recent form shows signs of strain, and their defensive vulnerabilities may be exploited by Bournemouth’s sharper attack.

Bournemouth’s home edge and attacking efficiency stand out.
Sunderland’s defensive lapses could invite pressure.
Moderate pace expected, favoring a controlled, tactical home performance.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 0.5

Under 0.5 @ 14.00 ✗ Lost

AI 8% Implied 7% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

BOU 4-2-3-1 · SUN 4-2-3-1

BOU · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · SUN

22 Kroupi

Subs used · BOU

46'

Evanilson ↑ ·

Brooks ↓

62'

Christie ↑ ·

Adams ↓

81'

Adli ↑ ·

Tavernier ↓

81'

Unal ↑ ·

J. Kroupi ↓

85'

Toth ↑

Subs used · SUN

69'

Traore ↑ ·

Talbi ↓

76'

Angulo ↑ ·

Xhaka ↓

90+6'

Isidor ↑ ·

Mayenda ↓

Statistics

BOU 1 – 1 SUN

62%

Possession (%)

38%

1.50

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.42

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

78%

Pass Accuracy (%)

68%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

16 · 1 – 1

18'

⚽

E. Mayenda

0–1

33'

▮

Noah Sadiki

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 1

Evanilson ↓ · D. Brooks ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

Tyler Adams

Yellow Card

▮

58'

R. Christie ↓ · T. Adams ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

62'

Evanilson

Assist · M. Tavernier · 1–1

⚽

63'

69'

⇄

B. Traore ↓ · C. Talbi ↑

Substitution 1

74'

▮

Robin Roefs

Yellow Card

76'

⇄

N. Angulo ↓ · G. Xhaka ↑

Substitution 2

A. Adli ↓ · M. Tavernier ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

81'

E. Unal ↓ · E. J. Kroupi ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

81'

A. Toth ↓ ·

Substitution 5

⇄

85'

Alex Tóth

Yellow Card

▮

86'

Ryan Christie

Yellow Card

▮

90'

Alex Scott

Yellow Card

▮

90+5'

90+6'

⇄

W. Isidor ↓ · E. Mayenda ↑

Substitution 3

Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Bournemouth and Sunderland drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 62% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 78% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 21 shots to 8, 5 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: E. Mayenda (18'), Evanilson (63').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.05 units (Brier 0.180).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.84	—	61%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.14	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.11	—	52%	Cashed	+1.11	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.85	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.76	—	48%	Cashed	+0.76	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.12	—	39%	Cashed	+1.12	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.42	—	73%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.25	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.24	—	84%	Cashed	+0.24	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.38	—	61%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.04	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	14.00	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	92%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Draw	3.98	—	23%	Cashed	+2.98	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.27	—	73%	Cashed	+0.27	Cashed
Away Win	4.60	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.44	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.05u	−12% ROI

Bournemouth vs Sunderland 1:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled