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Home › England › Premier League › Nottingham Forest — Liverpool

Match Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool February 22, 2026 — Result and Stats

England   /   Premier League
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
Home · last 5 W W D L D
Kick-off
Sun 22 Feb · 14:00
0:1
Full-time
Liverpool
Liverpool
W L D L D Away · last 5
The City Ground · Nottingham, Nottinghamshire Referee A. Taylor
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 60% · book 1.87 ✓
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 47% · book 2.27 ✓
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 45% · book 2.30 ✓
Total goals
1
0 · 1
xG (open play)
1.26 – 1.76
Δ −0.50
Possession
47% – 53%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Liverpool arrives at City Ground with a clear quality edge and a stronger recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand. Nottingham Forest's defensive solidity might slow Liverpool's attacking flow, but the visitors' superior offensive firepower and consistent away momentum could break through. Expect a tactical battle where Liverpool's pressing and sharper attack challenge Forest's compact block.

  • Home defense vs away attack clash
  • Liverpool's better form and quality gap
  • Moderate pace hinted by balanced over/under odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

NOT 4-2-3-1 · LIV 4-2-3-1
NOT · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · LIV 27 Ortega 34 Aina 31 Milenković 5 Murillo 3 Williams 6 Sangaré 8 Anderson 21 Hutchinson 10 Gibbs-White 7 Hudson-Odoi 19 Jesus 1 Alisson 8 Szoboszlai 5 Konaté 4 Dijk 6 Kerkez 38 Gravenberch 10 Allister ⚽ 11 Salah 17 Jones 18 Gakpo 22 Ekitiké
Subs used · NOT
66' Ndoye ↑ · Hudson-Odoi ↓
66' Bakwa ↑ · Hutchinson ↓
77' Dominguez ↑ · Anderson ↓
77' Lucca ↑ · Jesus ↓
90+3' McAtee ↑ · Gibbs-White ↓
Subs used · LIV
77' Chiesa ↑ · Gakpo ↓
77' Ngumoha ↑ · Salah ↓
83' Gomez ↑ · Jones ↓
83' Robertson ↑ · Kerkez ↓

📊 Statistics

NOT 0 – 1 LIV
47%
Possession (%)
53%
1.26
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.76
18
Total Shots
10
2
Shots on Target
4
8
Shots off Target
2
7
Shots Inside Box
8
7
Corner Kicks
2
1
Offsides
1
13
Fouls
9
83%
Pass Accuracy (%)
84%
2
Yellow Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2

⏱ Match events

12 · 0 – 1
Morgan Gibbs-White
Yellow Card
▮
20'
Half-time · 0 – 0
Ola Aina
Yellow Card
▮
61'
D. Ndoye ↓ · C. Hudson-Odoi ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
66'
D. Bakwa ↓ · O. Hutchinson ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
66'
N. Dominguez ↓ · E. Anderson ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
77'
L. Lucca ↓ · Igor Jesus ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
77'
77'
⇄
F. Chiesa ↓ · C. Gakpo ↑
Substitution 1
77'
⇄
R. Ngumoha ↓ · M. Salah ↑
Substitution 2
83'
⇄
J. Gomez ↓ · C. Jones ↑
Substitution 3
83'
⇄
A. Robertson ↓ · M. Kerkez ↑
Substitution 4
90'
⚽
A. Mac Allister
0–1
J. McAtee ↓ · M. Gibbs-White ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
90+3'
Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

Liverpool won 1–0 away at Nottingham Forest. At half-time it was 0–0.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.76 to 1.26. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 10, 2 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 2.

On the scoresheet: A. Mac Allister (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.90 units (Brier 0.186).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 1.87 — 60% Cashed +0.87 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.27 — 47% Cashed +1.27 Cashed
BTTS No 2.30 — 45% Cashed +1.30 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.69 — 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.74 — 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 2.09 — 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.27 — 83% Cashed +0.27 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.47 — 69% Cashed +0.47 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.87 — 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.38 — 60% Cashed +0.38 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.50 — 23% Cashed +3.50 Cashed
Under 0.5 15.50 — 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.04 — 93% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Draw 4.16 — 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.23 — 77% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 4.35 — 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 3.21 — 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −0.90u −5% ROI