Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool 0:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 1.87 — +12.8% better than the market.

Liverpool arrives at City Ground with a clear quality edge and a stronger recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand. Nottingham Forest's defensive solidity might slow Liverpool's attacking flow, but the visitors' superior offensive firepower and consistent away momentum could break through. Expect a tactical battle where Liverpool's pressing and sharper attack challenge Forest's compact block.

Home defense vs away attack clash
Liverpool's better form and quality gap
Moderate pace hinted by balanced over/under odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Away Win

Away Win @ 1.87 ✓ Cashed

AI 60% Implied 53% +0.87u

+87%

ROI on stake

Lineups

NOT 4-2-3-1 · LIV 4-2-3-1

NOT · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · LIV

19 Jesus

Subs used · NOT

66'

Ndoye ↑ ·

Hudson-Odoi ↓

66'

Bakwa ↑ ·

Hutchinson ↓

77'

Dominguez ↑ ·

Anderson ↓

77'

Lucca ↑ ·

Jesus ↓

90+3'

McAtee ↑ ·

Gibbs-White ↓

Subs used · LIV

77'

Chiesa ↑ ·

Gakpo ↓

77'

Ngumoha ↑ ·

Salah ↓

83'

Gomez ↑ ·

Jones ↓

83'

Robertson ↑ ·

Kerkez ↓

Statistics

NOT 0 – 1 LIV

47%

Possession (%)

53%

1.26

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.76

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

83%

Pass Accuracy (%)

84%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

12 · 0 – 1

Morgan Gibbs-White

Yellow Card

▮

20'

Half-time · 0 – 0

Ola Aina

Yellow Card

▮

61'

D. Ndoye ↓ · C. Hudson-Odoi ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

66'

D. Bakwa ↓ · O. Hutchinson ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

66'

N. Dominguez ↓ · E. Anderson ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

77'

L. Lucca ↓ · Igor Jesus ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

77'

⇄

F. Chiesa ↓ · C. Gakpo ↑

Substitution 1

77'

⇄

R. Ngumoha ↓ · M. Salah ↑

Substitution 2

83'

⇄

J. Gomez ↓ · C. Jones ↑

Substitution 3

83'

⇄

A. Robertson ↓ · M. Kerkez ↑

Substitution 4

90'

⚽

A. Mac Allister

0–1

J. McAtee ↓ · M. Gibbs-White ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

90+3'

Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

Liverpool won 1–0 away at Nottingham Forest. At half-time it was 0–0.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.76 to 1.26. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 10, 2 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 2.

On the scoresheet: A. Mac Allister (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.90 units (Brier 0.186).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	1.87	—	60%	Cashed	+0.87	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.27	—	47%	Cashed	+1.27	Cashed
BTTS No	2.30	—	45%	Cashed	+1.30	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.69	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.74	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	2.09	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.27	—	83%	Cashed	+0.27	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.47	—	69%	Cashed	+0.47	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.87	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.38	—	60%	Cashed	+0.38	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.50	—	23%	Cashed	+3.50	Cashed
Under 0.5	15.50	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	93%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Draw	4.16	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.23	—	77%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	4.35	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	3.21	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.90u	−5% ROI

Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool 0:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled