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Prognosist
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Home England Premier League Sunderland — Liverpool

Match Sunderland vs Liverpool February 11, 2026 — Result and Stats

Sunderland
Sunderland
Home · last 5 L D D W W
Kick-off
Wed 11 Feb · 20:15
0:1
Full-time
Liverpool
Liverpool
W L D L D Away · last 5
Stadium of Light · Sunderland Referee Chris Kavanagh, England
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 64% · book 1.70
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 53% · book 2.10
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 51% · book 2.05
Total goals
1
0 · 1
xG (open play)
0.66 – 1.95
Δ −1.29
Possession
44% – 56%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Liverpool arrive at the Stadium of Light with a clear quality edge and a strong away offensive threat against Sunderland's vulnerable defense. Despite Sunderland's better recent form, Liverpool's pressing and tactical discipline should challenge the home side's compact block. Expect a controlled pace with Liverpool likely to capitalize on set-piece opportunities and maintain pressure.

  • Liverpool's superior attacking firepower vs Sunderland's defensive struggles
  • Home momentum for Sunderland but limited by tactical mismatch
  • Moderate tempo suggests a balanced but Liverpool-favored contest

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

SUN 4-2-3-1 · LIV 4-2-3-1
Subs used · SUN
80' Mundle ↑ · Angulo
80' Talbi ↑ · Hume
80' Geertruida ↑ · Alderete
90+2' Isidor ↑ · Diarra
Subs used · LIV
69' Gomez ↑ · Endo
75' Jones ↑ · Gakpo
88' Chiesa ↑ · Ekitike

📊 Statistics

SUN 01 LIV
44%
Possession (%)
56%
0.66
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.95
11
Total Shots
23
2
Shots on Target
3
5
Shots off Target
7
8
Shots Inside Box
16
3
Corner Kicks
11
2
Offsides
1
8
Fouls
10
83%
Pass Accuracy (%)
86%
1
Yellow Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

9 · 0 – 1
Reinildo Mandava
Yellow Card
24'
Half-time · 0 – 0
61'
V. van Dijk
Assist · M. Salah · 0–1
69'
J. Gomez ↓ · W. Endo ↑
Substitution 1
75'
C. Jones ↓ · C. Gakpo ↑
Substitution 2
R. Mundle ↓ · N. Angulo ↑
Substitution 1
80'
C. Talbi ↓ · T. Hume ↑
Substitution 2
80'
L. Geertruida ↓ · O. Alderete ↑
Substitution 3
80'
88'
F. Chiesa ↓ · H. Ekitike ↑
Substitution 3
W. Isidor ↓ · H. Diarra ↑
Substitution 4
90+2'
Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

Liverpool won 1–0 away at Sunderland. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 56% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.95 to 0.66. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 23 shots to 11, 3 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 11 to 3.

On the scoresheet: V. van Dijk (61').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.22 units (Brier 0.153).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 1.70 64% Cashed +0.70 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.10 53% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
BTTS No 2.05 51% Cashed +1.05 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.81 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.86 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 2.34 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.42 74% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.00 28% Cashed +3.00 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.20 86% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.26 64% Cashed +0.26 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.00 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 13.30 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.05 92% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Draw 4.26 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.26 72% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 5.25 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 3.93 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.22u −13% ROI