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Home World UEFA Champions League Athletic Club — Sporting CP

Match Athletic Club vs Sporting CP January 28, 2026 — Result and Stats

Athletic Club
Athletic Club
Home · last 5 L D D W L
Kick-off
Wed 28 Jan · 20:00
2:3
Full-time
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
W L W L D Away · last 5
Referee Felix Zwayer, Germany
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 44% · book 1.69
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 50% · book 3.60
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 77% · book 1.78
Total goals
5
2 · 3
xG (open play)
0.59 – 1.49
Δ −0.90
Possession
35% – 65%
AI accuracy
7 / 13
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
Athletic Club may look comfortable at home, but Sporting CP come in with sharper rhythm and a clear edge in how they control games without the ball. Expect the hosts to have spells of territory, yet Sporting’s structure and counter-attacking threat should create the cleaner chances over time. If Athletic don’t move the ball quickly enough, Sporting can squeeze the middle, force rushed decisions and punish turnovers. The away side are well placed to avoid defeat and have a strong path to the win if they take their chances.
P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

BIL 23 SPO
35%
Possession (%)
65%
0.59
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.49
9
Total Shots
9
2
Shots on Target
6
4
Shots off Target
2
5
Shots Inside Box
7
6
Corner Kicks
7
0
Offsides
3
22
Fouls
8
74%
Pass Accuracy (%)
87%
4
Yellow Cards
5
3
Goalkeeper Saves
0

Match recap

Sporting CP won 3–2 away at Athletic Club. At half-time it was 2–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 65% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 87% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.49 to 0.59. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 3 from 1.49 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 9 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 13 graded markets, 7 landed and 6 missed, for a net +0.91 units (Brier 0.206).

Bet recap · markets settled

13 · 7 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes 1.69 44% Cashed +0.69 Cashed
Away Win 3.60 50% Cashed +2.60 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.78 77% Cashed +0.78 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.65 50% Cashed +1.65 Cashed
BTTS No 2.25 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.10 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.42 71% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.06 92% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.27 73% Cashed +0.27 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.86 49% Cashed +0.86 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.35 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.65 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.16 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 13 markets @ 1u each 7 W · 6 L +0.91u +7% ROI