Match Atletico Madrid vs Bodo/Glimt January 28, 2026 — Result and Stats
Kick-off
Wed 28 Jan · 20:00
1:2
Full-time
Referee Maurizio Mariani, Italy
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 54% · book 2.06
✓
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 14% · book 9.00
✓
Miss
Draw
Draw
AI 20% · book 6.29
✗
xG (open play)
2.04 – 1.88
Δ +0.16
AI accuracy
6 / 12
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
AI picks Under 3.5 at 2.06 — +11.0% better than the market.
Atletico Madrid should control this match through calmer possession and better game management, especially when they can pin Bodo/Glimt back and force long defending spells. The visitors arrive with enough threat to create chances on the break, but their recent pattern suggests they can be exposed when the game turns into repeated transitions. Expect Atletico to build pressure over time, with Bodo/Glimt trying to strike quickly and make set pieces count. Goals are likely, but Atletico are still the more reliable side to land the result.
P
Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5
Under 3.5 @ 2.06
✓ Cashed
AI 54%
Implied 49%
+1.06u
⛀ Lineups
ATM 4-4-2 · BOD 4-3-3
📊 Statistics
ATM 1
– 2 BOD
2.04
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
1.88
88%
Pass Accuracy (%)
77%
Match recap
Bodo/Glimt won 2–1 away at Atletico Madrid. At half-time it was 1–1.
In possession, the hosts ran the game with 65% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 88% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 27 shots to 11, 8 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 12 to 1. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 12 graded markets, 6 landed and 6 missed, for a net +4.15 units (Brier 0.269).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
12 · 6 W · 6 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| Under 3.5 |
2.06 |
— |
54% |
Cashed |
+1.06 |
Cashed
|
| Away Win |
9.00 |
— |
14% |
Cashed |
+8.00 |
Cashed
|
| Draw |
6.29 |
— |
20% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.02 |
— |
96% |
Cashed |
+0.02 |
Cashed
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.11 |
— |
88% |
Cashed |
+0.11 |
Cashed
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.62 |
— |
60% |
Cashed |
+0.62 |
Cashed
|
| BTTS No |
2.42 |
— |
40% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 2.5 |
1.34 |
— |
72% |
Cashed |
+0.34 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.11 |
— |
86% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Home Win |
1.36 |
— |
66% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 3.5 |
1.93 |
— |
46% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Home 0 |
1.13 |
— |
66% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Total · 12 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
6 W · 6 L |
+4.15u |
+35% ROI |
