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Home World UEFA Champions League Napoli — Chelsea

Predictions Napoli vs Chelsea January 28, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Napoli
Napoli
Home · last 5 D W L D L
Kick-off
Wed 28 Jan · 20:00
2:3
Full-time
Chelsea
Chelsea
L W W L L Away · last 5
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona · Napoli Referee Clement Turpin, France
Home Win · NAP
34%
Best 3.60
Draw
30%
Best 3.50
Away Win · CHE
36%
Best 2.05
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 2.02
Fair odds
2.00
book 2.02 · +1.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 50% · EV +1.0%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Draw
Probability 30%
Odds 3.56
Show model details
Implied probability 28.1%
Bet quality Low
Away Win Best in group
Probability 36%
Odds 2.68
Show model details
Implied probability 37.3%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 34%
Odds 2.76
Show model details
Implied probability 36.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 5 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 50%
Odds 2.02
Show model details
Implied probability 49.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 71.9%
Bet quality Medium
Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 93%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality High
Over 1.5
Probability 74%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 50%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 49%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 51%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 36%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 34%
Odds 1.99
Show model details
Implied probability 50.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 66%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X
Probability 64%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.