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Home › World › UEFA Champions League › Napoli — Chelsea

Predictions by Market: Napoli vs Chelsea

Europe   /   UEFA Champions League Value pick inside
Napoli
Napoli
Home · last 5 D W L D L
Kick-off
Wed 28 Jan · 20:00
2:3
Full-time
Chelsea
Chelsea
L W W L L Away · last 5
Maradona Stadium · Naples Referee Clement Turpin, France

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · NAP
34%
Best 3.60
Draw
30%
Best 3.50
Away Win · CHE
36%
Best 2.05
Value pick
BTTS No
@ 2.20
Fair odds
2.04
book 2.20 · +8.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 49% · EV +8.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — BTTS Yes is more likely (51%), but BTTS No is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Draw
Probability 30%
Odds 3.56
Show model details
Implied probability 28.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 36%
Odds 2.68
Show model details
Implied probability 37.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 34%
Odds 2.76
Show model details
Implied probability 36.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 5 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 50%
Odds 2.02
Show model details
Implied probability 49.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 71.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 93%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 74%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 50%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 49%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 51%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 36%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 34%
Odds 1.99
Show model details
Implied probability 50.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 66%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 64%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS No
NAP – CHE @ 2.20
+8.0%
Edge
Forecast →