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Prognosist
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⚽ Football 57 + Value 23 📈 Forecasts
Football World UEFA Champions League Bayer Leverkusen — Villarreal

Match Bayer Leverkusen vs Villarreal January 28, 2026

Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
Home · last 5 W W D D L
Kick-off
Wed 28 Jan · 20:00
3:0
Full-time
Villarreal
Villarreal
L L L L L Away · last 5
BayArena · Leverkusen Referee Espen Eskas, Norway
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 61% · book 1.64
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 55% · book 2.54
Miss
Draw
Draw
AI 30% · book 4.57
Total goals
3
3 · 0
xG (open play)
2.03 – 0.25
Δ +1.78
Possession
65% – 35%
AI accuracy
8 / 14
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
This matchup at the BayArena looks far closer than a typical home-favourite spot. Both sides arrive with the same recent return, and the overall profile points to a game that can swing on a few key moments rather than sustained dominance. Leverkusen have the home backing, but Villarreal’s recent uptick and sharper cutting edge make them a genuine threat, especially if they can keep the game compact and strike on transitions. Goals look likely, and the away side have a realistic route to come away with something.
P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

BAY 30 VIL
65%
Possession (%)
35%
2.03
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.25
15
Total Shots
5
7
Shots on Target
2
5
Shots off Target
2
10
Shots Inside Box
2
4
Corner Kicks
1
0
Offsides
2
7
Fouls
15
93%
Pass Accuracy (%)
86%
0
Yellow Cards
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Bet recap · markets settled

14 · 8 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 1.64 61% Cashed +0.64 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.54 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.57 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 6.00 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.04 95% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.47 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.20 82% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.68 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.46 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.25 42% Cashed +1.25 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.57 60% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.17 75% Cashed +0.17 Cashed
Home Win 1.60 45% Cashed +0.60 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.22 45% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
Total · 14 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 6 L −2.31u −16% ROI