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Home › World › UEFA Champions League › Marseille — Liverpool

Predictions by Market: Marseille vs Liverpool

Europe   /   UEFA Champions League Value pick inside
Marseille
Marseille
Home · last 5 L W W L L
Kick-off
Wed 21 Jan · 20:00
0:3
Full-time
Liverpool
Liverpool
W L W L L Away · last 5
Orange Vélodrome · Marseille Referee Slavko Vinčić, Slovenia

Outcome probabilities

VALUE
Home Win · MAR
45%
Best 3.68
Draw
28%
Best 3.83
Away Win · LIV
27%
Best 1.95
Value pick
Draw
@ 4.00
Fair odds
3.57
book 4.00 · +10.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 28% · EV +10.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (45%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Value pick
Probability 45%
Odds 3.95
Show model details
Implied probability 25.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 28%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 27%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 60%
Odds 1.68
Show model details
Implied probability 59.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 96%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 39%
Odds 2.55
Show model details
Implied probability 39.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 82%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 40%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 61%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 18%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 4%
Odds 17.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 42%
Odds 2.45
Show model details
Implied probability 40.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Top pick
Probability 58%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Medium
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Value pick
Probability 62.5%
Odds 2.85
Show model details
Implied probability 35.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 37.5%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Value pick
Probability 73%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51%
Bet quality High
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 55%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
MAR – LIV @ 4.00
+10.0%
Edge
Forecast →