Match Marseille vs Liverpool January 21, 2026
Kick-off
Wed 21 Jan · 20:00
0 : 3
Full-time
Orange Vélodrome · Marseille
Referee Slavko Vinčić, Slovenia
Miss
AH Home 0
AH Home 0
AI 63% · book 2.85
✗
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 45% · book 3.95
✗
Miss
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 73% · book 1.96
✗
xG (open play)
0.88 – 1.49
Δ −0.61
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
Marseille at the Orange Vélodrome should make this intense and emotional, with strong home pressure and a lively tempo. Liverpool have the tools to stay composed in transitions and create chances on the break, but the game script still leans toward a tight contest where Marseille’s home edge and momentum can matter. Goals are plausible, yet the match can still swing on small moments rather than one-way traffic.
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Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
⛀ Lineups
MAR 4-4-2 · LIV 4-2-2-2
📊 Statistics
MAR 0
– 3 LIV
0.88
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
1.49
90%
Pass Accuracy (%)
86%
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market
Odds
Closed
AI
Result
P/L · 1u
AH Home 0
2.85
—
63%
Lost
−1.00
Miss
Home Win
3.95
—
45%
Lost
−1.00
Miss
Double Chance 1X
1.96
—
73%
Lost
−1.00
Miss
Draw
4.00
—
28%
Lost
−1.00
Miss
BTTS No
2.45
—
42%
Cashed
+1.45
Cashed
Over 2.5
1.68
—
60%
Cashed
+0.68
Cashed
Over 0.5
1.04
—
96%
Cashed
+0.04
Cashed
Over 3.5
2.55
—
39%
Lost
−1.00
Miss
Over 1.5
1.21
—
82%
Cashed
+0.21
Cashed
Under 2.5
2.38
—
40%
Lost
−1.00
Miss
Under 3.5
1.55
—
61%
Cashed
+0.55
Cashed
BTTS Yes
1.57
—
58%
Lost
−1.00
Miss
Under 1.5
5.00
—
18%
Lost
−1.00
Miss
Under 0.5
17.00
—
4%
Lost
−1.00
Miss
Double Chance X2
1.30
—
55%
Cashed
+0.30
Cashed
AH Away 0
1.44
—
38%
Cashed
+0.44
Cashed
Away Win
1.95
—
27%
Cashed
+0.95
Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each
—
—
—
8 W · 9 L
−4.38u
−26% ROI
ℹ Match meta
Stadium
Orange Vélodrome
Referee
Slavko Vinčić, Slovenia
Version
gpt-5
Markets graded
17
Cashed / lost
8 / 9
Brier · this match
0.217
P/L on slate
−4.38u
ROI · season
−7%
Season tally
−156.6u (2261)