Match Olympiakos Piraeus vs Bayer Leverkusen January 20, 2026 — Result and Stats
Kick-off
Tue 20 Jan · 20:00
2:0
Full-time
Referee Maurizio Mariani, Italy
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 44% · book 2.55
✓
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 46% · book 2.36
✓
Hit
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 72% · book 1.49
✓
xG (open play)
1.13 – 2.37
Δ −1.24
AI accuracy
10 / 19
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
AI picks Home Win at 2.55 — +12.0% better than the market.
Olympiakos look the more complete side here, with stronger overall balance and a clear edge when it comes to limiting high-quality chances. Leverkusen have shown they can be dangerous when games open up, but against a well-organised opponent they may need to rely on moments rather than sustained pressure. The most likely match script is Olympiakos controlling the key phases, with Leverkusen staying competitive yet facing a tougher route to consistent chances. Goals are still on the table, but a steady, controlled game is more likely than a wild shootout.
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Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 2.55
✓ Cashed
AI 44%
Implied 39%
+1.55u
⛀ Lineups
OLY 4-2-3-1 · BAY 3-4-2-1
📊 Statistics
OLY 2
– 0 BAY
1.13
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
2.37
66%
Pass Accuracy (%)
86%
Match recap
Olympiakos Piraeus beat Bayer Leverkusen 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.
In possession, the visitors ran the game with 72% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 86% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.37 to 1.13. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 6, 6 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 8 to 2. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 19 graded markets, 10 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.52 units (Brier 0.147).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
19 · 10 W · 9 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| Home Win |
2.55 |
— |
44% |
Cashed |
+1.55 |
Cashed
|
| BTTS No |
2.36 |
— |
46% |
Cashed |
+1.36 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.49 |
— |
72% |
Cashed |
+0.49 |
Cashed
|
| Under 1.5 |
4.35 |
— |
24% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Draw |
3.66 |
— |
28% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 2.5 |
2.18 |
— |
46% |
Cashed |
+1.18 |
Cashed
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.47 |
— |
68% |
Cashed |
+0.47 |
Cashed
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.05 |
— |
94% |
Cashed |
+0.05 |
Cashed
|
| AH Home +1 |
1.21 |
— |
80% |
Cashed |
+0.21 |
Cashed
|
| Over 2.5 |
1.79 |
— |
54% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Home +2 |
1.04 |
— |
92% |
Cashed |
+0.04 |
Cashed
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.25 |
— |
76% |
Cashed |
+0.25 |
Cashed
|
| Over 3.5 |
2.85 |
— |
32% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 0.5 |
15.00 |
— |
6% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance X2 |
1.58 |
— |
56% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.61 |
— |
54% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Home 0 |
1.88 |
— |
44% |
Cashed |
+0.88 |
Cashed
|
| Away Win |
2.86 |
— |
28% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Away 0 |
2.07 |
— |
28% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Total · 19 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
10 W · 9 L |
−2.52u |
−13% ROI |
