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Home › World › UEFA Champions League › Sporting CP — Paris Saint Germain

Predictions Sporting CP vs Paris Saint Germain January 20, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Europe   /   UEFA Champions League
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
Home · last 5 W L W L D
Kick-off
Tue 20 Jan · 20:00
2:1
Full-time
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
W W W D D Away · last 5
Estádio José Alvalade · Lisboa Referee Anthony Taylor, England
VALUE
Home Win · SPO
38%
Best 4.38
Draw
26%
Best 4.15
Away Win · PSG
36%
Best 1.74
Value pick
Over 2.5
@ 1.66
Fair odds
1.61
book 1.66 · +3.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 62% · EV +3.0%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Value pick
Probability 38%
Odds 4.37
Show model details
Implied probability 22.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 26%
Odds 4.12
Show model details
Implied probability 24.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 36%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 62%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 85%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 96%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 62%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 38%
Odds 2.42
Show model details
Implied probability 41.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 38%
Odds 2.60
Show model details
Implied probability 38.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 15%
Odds 4.90
Show model details
Implied probability 20.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 4%
Odds 17.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Top pick
Probability 60%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS No
Probability 40%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 41.7%
Bet quality Medium
Asian Handicap 5 markets
✓ AH Home +1 Value pick
Probability 82%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality High
✓ AH Home +2 Top pick
Probability 93%
Odds 1.16
Show model details
Implied probability 86.2%
Bet quality High
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 62%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away -1
Probability 18%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home -1
Probability 12%
Odds 7.90
Show model details
Implied probability 12.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Value pick
Probability 64%
Odds 2.09
Show model details
Implied probability 47.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 62%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.