Match Sporting CP vs Paris Saint Germain January 20, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

This looks like a heavyweight clash in Lisbon. Sporting bring strong home authority and a confident recent run, while PSG arrive in great form with a reliable ability to create big chances. The matchup feels tight rather than one-sided, with Sporting’s home advantage balancing PSG’s overall quality. A draw is very live, and the game script points to goals being likely, though the key swing factor is whether PSG can break Sporting’s defensive shape early.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

SPO 3-4-2-1 · PSG 4-3-3

SPO · 3-4-2-1 4-3-3 · PSG

97 Suárez

📊 Statistics

SPO 2 – 1 PSG

25%

Possession (%)

75%

0.82

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.25

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

75%

Pass Accuracy (%)

93%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Sporting CP beat Paris Saint Germain 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 75% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 93% of their passes. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 28 shots to 10, 6 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 10 to 2. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 20 graded markets, 9 landed and 11 missed, for a net -3.73 units (Brier 0.125).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

20 · 9 W · 11 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	1.66	—	62%	Cashed	+0.66	Cashed
Home Win	4.37	—	38%	Cashed	+3.37	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	2.09	—	64%	Cashed	+1.09	Cashed
AH Home +1	1.60	—	82%	Cashed	+0.60	Cashed
AH Home +2	1.16	—	93%	Cashed	+0.16	Cashed
Draw	4.12	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.20	—	85%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.04	—	96%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.60	—	60%	Cashed	+0.60	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.55	—	62%	Cashed	+0.55	Cashed
BTTS No	2.40	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.40	—	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.42	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.28	—	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.60	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	1.87	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.90	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away -1	1.10	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home -1	7.90	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	17.00	—	4%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 20 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	9 W · 11 L	−3.73u	−19% ROI

Match Sporting CP vs Paris Saint Germain January 20, 2026 — Result and Stats

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled