Match Athletic Club vs Paris Saint Germain December 10, 2025

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.84 — +12.2% better than the market.

Paris Saint-Germain look clearly stronger on paper and should control most of the game, but Athletic Club can still be dangerous at home and might create chances on transitions and set pieces. Overall we expect PSG to be closer to the win and the match to produce at least a couple of goals.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5

Over 2.5 @ 1.84 ✗ Lost

AI 61% Implied 54% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

BIL 4-2-3-1 · PSG 4-3-3

BIL · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · PSG

11 Guruzeta

📊 Statistics

BIL 0 – 0 PSG

28%

Possession (%)

72%

0.56

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.05

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

73%

Pass Accuracy (%)

87%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Athletic Club and Paris Saint Germain drew 0–0. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 72% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 87% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.05 to 0.56. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 9, 5 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +14.36 units (Brier 0.412).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	1.84	—	61%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	96%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.27	—	82%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.87	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.17	—	83%	Cashed	+0.17	Cashed
Away Win	1.64	—	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.24	—	78%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.00	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.00	—	43%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	2.45	—	38%	Cashed	+1.45	Cashed
Home Win	5.89	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.26	—	21%	Cashed	+3.26	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.42	—	60%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.11	—	39%	Cashed	+1.11	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.25	—	18%	Cashed	+3.25	Cashed
AH Home 0	4.39	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	13.70	—	4%	Cashed	+12.70	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+14.36u	+84% ROI

Match Athletic Club vs Paris Saint Germain December 10, 2025 — Result and Stats

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.84 — +12.2% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled