Match Benfica vs Napoli December 10, 2025
Kick-off
Wed 10 Dec · 20:00
2 : 0
Full-time
Napoli
D
W
L
D
L
Away · last 5
Referee Slavko Vinčić, Slovenia
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 60% · book 1.66
✗
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 30% · book 3.65
✗
Hit
Over 0.5
Over 0.5
AI 95% · book 1.08
✓
xG (open play)
2.17 – 0.69
Δ +1.48
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
Benfica and Napoli look quite evenly matched, with Benfica slightly stronger at home on underlying numbers while Napoli arrive in better recent form. The Portuguese side should see a bit more of the ball and create steady pressure, but Napoli’s direct attacks and set pieces remain a real threat. Goals are likely but not guaranteed to turn into a high-scoring shootout, with both teams having a decent chance to score and Benfica holding a small overall edge in front of their own fans.
P
Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
⛀ Lineups
BEN 4-2-3-1 · NAP 3-4-2-1
📊 Statistics
BEN 2
– 0 NAP
2.17
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
0.69
77%
Pass Accuracy (%)
84%
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market
Odds
Closed
AI
Result
P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2
1.66
—
60%
Lost
−1.00
Miss
Over 3.5
3.65
—
30%
Lost
−1.00
Miss
Over 0.5
1.08
—
95%
Cashed
+0.08
Cashed
BTTS Yes
1.85
—
55%
Lost
−1.00
Miss
Under 1.5
3.65
—
28%
Lost
−1.00
Miss
AH Home 0
1.72
—
58%
Cashed
+0.72
Cashed
Over 2.5
2.09
—
48%
Lost
−1.00
Miss
Over 1.5
1.37
—
72%
Cashed
+0.37
Cashed
Double Chance 1X
1.39
—
71%
Cashed
+0.39
Cashed
AH Away 0
2.35
—
42%
Lost
−1.00
Miss
Home Win
2.41
—
41%
Cashed
+1.41
Cashed
Under 2.5
1.88
—
52%
Cashed
+0.88
Cashed
Away Win
3.28
—
30%
Lost
−1.00
Miss
Draw
3.39
—
29%
Lost
−1.00
Miss
BTTS No
2.12
—
45%
Cashed
+1.12
Cashed
Under 3.5
1.32
—
70%
Cashed
+0.32
Cashed
Under 0.5
10.50
—
5%
Lost
−1.00
Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each
—
—
—
8 W · 9 L
−3.71u
−22% ROI
ℹ Match meta
Referee
Slavko Vinčić, Slovenia
Version
gpt-5
Markets graded
17
Cashed / lost
8 / 9
Brier · this match
0.160
P/L on slate
−3.71u
ROI · season
−7%
Season tally
−156.6u (2261)