Match Benfica vs Napoli December 10, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Benfica and Napoli look quite evenly matched, with Benfica slightly stronger at home on underlying numbers while Napoli arrive in better recent form. The Portuguese side should see a bit more of the ball and create steady pressure, but Napoli’s direct attacks and set pieces remain a real threat. Goals are likely but not guaranteed to turn into a high-scoring shootout, with both teams having a decent chance to score and Benfica holding a small overall edge in front of their own fans.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

BEN 4-2-3-1 · NAP 3-4-2-1

BEN · 4-2-3-1 3-4-2-1 · NAP

9 Ivanović

📊 Statistics

BEN 2 – 0 NAP

40%

Possession (%)

60%

2.17

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.69

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

77%

Pass Accuracy (%)

84%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Benfica beat Napoli 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 60% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.17 to 0.69. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 13 shots to 9, 5 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 6 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.71 units (Brier 0.160).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	1.66	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.65	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.08	—	95%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.85	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.65	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.72	—	58%	Cashed	+0.72	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.09	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.37	—	72%	Cashed	+0.37	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.39	—	71%	Cashed	+0.39	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.35	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.41	—	41%	Cashed	+1.41	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.88	—	52%	Cashed	+0.88	Cashed
Away Win	3.28	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.39	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.12	—	45%	Cashed	+1.12	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.32	—	70%	Cashed	+0.32	Cashed
Under 0.5	10.50	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.71u	−22% ROI