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Home World UEFA Champions League Qarabag — Ajax

Predictions Qarabag vs Ajax December 10, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Europe   /   UEFA Champions League Value pick inside
Qarabag
Qarabag
Home · last 5 L W L L L
Kick-off
Wed 10 Dec · 17:45
2:4
Full-time
Ajax
Ajax
L L W W L Away · last 5
Tofiq Bahramov Stadium · Baku Referee Rade Obrenovič, Slovenia
Home Win · KAR
45%
Best 2.15
Draw
27%
Best 3.70
Away Win · AJA
28%
Best 3.18
Value pick
Over 2.5
@ 1.72
Fair odds
1.52
book 1.72 · +14.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 66% · EV +14.0%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Draw
Probability 27%
Odds 4.07
Show model details
Implied probability 24.6%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win
Probability 28%
Odds 3.67
Show model details
Implied probability 27.2%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win Best in group
Probability 45%
Odds 2.06
Show model details
Implied probability 48.5%
Bet quality Medium
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 66%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.1%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5 Value pick
Probability 42%
Odds 2.63
Show model details
Implied probability 38%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5
Probability 88%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality High
Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 96%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality High
Under 3.5
Probability 58%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Medium
Under 2.5
Probability 34%
Odds 2.32
Show model details
Implied probability 43.1%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5
Probability 4%
Odds 16.50
Show model details
Implied probability 6.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 12%
Odds 4.80
Show model details
Implied probability 20.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Top pick
Probability 65%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS No
Probability 35%
Odds 2.44
Show model details
Implied probability 41%
Bet quality Medium
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Value pick
Probability 40%
Odds 2.85
Show model details
Implied probability 35.1%
Bet quality Medium
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 60%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Medium
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 55%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 72%
Odds 1.34
Show model details
Implied probability 74.6%
Bet quality High

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 2.5
KAR – AJA @ 1.72
+14.0%
Edge
Forecast →