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Prognosist
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⚽ Football 57 + Value 23 📈 Forecasts
Football World UEFA Champions League Atalanta — Chelsea

Match Atalanta vs Chelsea December 9, 2025

Atalanta
Atalanta
Home · last 5 L L W L L
Kick-off
Tue 09 Dec · 20:00
2:1
Full-time
Chelsea
Chelsea
L W W L L Away · last 5
New Balance Arena · Bergamo Referee Alejandro Hernandez, Spain
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 59% · book 1.76
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 31% · book 3.51
Hit
Over 1.5
Over 1.5
AI 84% · book 1.23
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
1.74 – 1.25
Δ +0.49
Possession
49% – 51%
AI accuracy
9 / 18
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
Atalanta vs Chelsea at New Balance Arena brings together an Atalanta side that plays proactive football at home and a Chelsea team with slightly higher overall quality and more experience in high-pressure European nights. Atalanta usually pushes numbers forward, creates a steady flow of chances and relies on quick combinations in the final third, but their recent form has been inconsistent and they can leave space behind their defensive line. Chelsea travel well, carry more individual talent in attack and are dangerous whenever they find room in transition, yet they also concede opportunities and rarely control away matches from start to finish. All together this points to a fairly even contest with a small edge to the visitors and a good likelihood of both sides getting on the scoresheet, which makes supportive handicaps on Chelsea and goal-based markets particularly interesting for betting strategies.
P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

ATA 21 CHE
49%
Possession (%)
51%
1.74
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.25
13
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
5
3
Shots off Target
4
9
Shots Inside Box
6
2
Corner Kicks
5
4
Offsides
2
6
Fouls
14
84%
Pass Accuracy (%)
86%
0
Yellow Cards
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Bet recap · markets settled

18 · 9 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 1.76 59% Cashed +0.76 Cashed
Home Win 3.51 31% Cashed +2.51 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.23 84% Cashed +0.23 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.78 58% Cashed +0.78 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.05 96% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.60 63% Cashed +0.60 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.88 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.70 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home +2 1.10 90% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.50 65% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.36 69% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.18 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.23 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.43 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 2.46 31% Cashed +1.46 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.50 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.60 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 14.80 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 18 markets @ 1u each 9 W · 9 L −2.01u −11% ROI