Match Napoli vs Qarabag November 25, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Napoli welcome Qarabag to Stadio Diego Armando Maradona as clear favourites, with the Italians backed by stronger domestic numbers and home support, while the visitors rely on sharp counter-attacks and clinical finishing in Europe. My Napoli vs Qarabag prediction expects Napoli to control most of the ball and territory, Qarabag to threaten in transition, and a scoreline that often lands in the 2–0, 3–0 or 2–1 region, creating a wide range of betting opportunities across 1X2, goals, double chance and Asian handicap markets.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

NAP 3-4-2-1 · KAR 4-2-3-1

NAP · 3-4-2-1 4-2-3-1 · KAR

19 Højlund

📊 Statistics

NAP 2 – 0 KAR

55%

Possession (%)

45%

3.42

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.49

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

89%

Pass Accuracy (%)

85%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Napoli beat Qarabag 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 55% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 3.42 to 0.49. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 11, 7 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.29 units (Brier 0.111).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	1.64	—	62%	Cashed	+0.64	Cashed
Draw	6.00	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	3.84	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.19	—	86%	Cashed	+0.19	Cashed
Away Win	11.10	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.60	—	63%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	96%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.06	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.87	—	52%	Cashed	+0.87	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.08	—	90%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Home Win	1.33	—	72%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.47	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.50	—	37%	Cashed	+1.50	Cashed
Under 1.5	5.50	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.06	—	72%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Under 0.5	17.50	—	4%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	6.30	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.29u	−31% ROI