Match Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal November 25, 2025

Post-match · 90 sec read

Borussia Dortmund welcome Villarreal to Signal Iduna Park in a European clash between two sides who like to play proactive football. Dortmund carry strong home momentum and plenty of attacking firepower, while Villarreal arrive with solid domestic numbers but a more wasteful recent run in Europe. My Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal prediction expects an open contest with phases of pressure for both teams, a slight edge to the hosts in front of the Yellow Wall, and several interesting angles across goals, double chance and handicap markets.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

DOR 3-4-2-1 · VIL 4-4-2

DOR · 3-4-2-1 4-4-2 · VIL

9 Guirassy

📊 Statistics

DOR 4 – 0 VIL

67%

Possession (%)

33%

3.64

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.79

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

91%

Pass Accuracy (%)

80%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Borussia Dortmund beat Villarreal 4–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 67% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 91% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 3.64 to 0.79.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.32 units (Brier 0.196).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes	1.71	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	15.00	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.50	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	4.33	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.05	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.04	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.85	—	37%	Cashed	+1.85	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.79	—	57%	Cashed	+0.79	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.24	—	81%	Cashed	+0.24	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.05	—	95%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
AH Away 0	3.23	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.18	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.47	—	63%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.23	—	40%	Cashed	+1.23	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.26	—	70%	Cashed	+0.26	Cashed
Home Win	1.88	—	40%	Cashed	+0.88	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.38	—	47%	Cashed	+0.38	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.32u	−20% ROI

Match Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal November 25, 2025 — Result and Stats

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled