Match Ajax vs Galatasaray November 5, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Galatasaray bring stronger recent form and look more secure across phases, while Ajax have struggled to control European games. Expect the visitors to avoid defeat, with a moderate goal pace unless early chances are finished clinically.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

AJA 4-2-3-1 · GAL 4-2-3-1

AJA · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · GAL

25 Weghorst

📊 Statistics

AJA 0 – 3 GAL

48%

Possession (%)

52%

0.90

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.54

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

89%

Pass Accuracy (%)

89%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Galatasaray won 3–0 away at Ajax. At half-time it was 0–0.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.54 to 0.90. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 8, 7 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 18 graded markets, 8 landed and 10 missed, for a net -4.44 units (Brier 0.206).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

18 · 8 W · 10 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	1.40	—	75%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
BTTS No	3.01	—	40%	Cashed	+2.01	Cashed
AH Home -2	12.00	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.79	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.80	—	65%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
AH Home +1	1.40	—	77%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.11	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.62	—	66%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
Away Win	2.14	—	49%	Cashed	+1.14	Cashed
AH Home +2	1.12	—	90%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.01	—	95%	Cashed	+0.01	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.12	—	83%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.80	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.46	—	58%	Cashed	+0.46	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.42	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.20	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.41	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	3.28	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 18 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 10 L	−4.44u	−25% ROI