Atalanta won 1–0 away at Marseille. At half-time it was 0–0.
In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 8, 4 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 3. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 19 graded markets, 6 landed and 13 missed, for a net -3.70 units (Brier 0.236).
| Market | Odds | Closed | AI | Result | P/L · 1u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 1.50 | — | 65% | Cashed | +0.50 | Cashed |
| Under 0.5 | 16.50 | — | 10% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 1.5 | 4.50 | — | 26% | Cashed | +3.50 | Cashed |
| Under 2.5 | 2.40 | — | 45% | Cashed | +1.40 | Cashed |
| Draw | 3.90 | — | 27% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| BTTS No | 2.50 | — | 42% | Cashed | +1.50 | Cashed |
| Double Chance 1X | 1.40 | — | 73% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Home Win | 2.10 | — | 46% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 2.5 | 1.70 | — | 55% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| BTTS Yes | 1.60 | — | 58% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 1.5 | 1.20 | — | 74% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Double Chance X2 | 1.80 | — | 56% | Cashed | +0.80 | Cashed |
| Over 3.5 | 2.60 | — | 35% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Home 0 | 1.60 | — | 46% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Away 0 | 2.60 | — | 27% | Cashed | +1.60 | Cashed |
| AH Home -1 | 3.00 | — | 24% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Home -2 | 6.60 | — | 11% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Away -1 | 1.40 | — | 14% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Away -2 | 1.10 | — | 9% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Total · 19 markets @ 1u each | — | — | — | 6 W · 13 L | −3.70u | −19% ROI |
