Orange Vélodrome · MarseilleReferee José María Sánchez Martínez, Spain
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 65% · book 1.50✓
Miss
Under 0.5
Under 0.5
AI 10% · book 16.50✗
Hit
Under 1.5
Under 1.5
AI 26% · book 4.50✓
Total goals
1
0 · 1
xG (open play)
0.88 – 1.25
Δ −0.37
Possession
53% – 47%
AI accuracy
6 / 19
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
Marseille look the likelier side at home: better recent rhythm, stronger in duels, and more control in key zones. Atalanta have struggled to create away from home, so the game script points to Marseille not losing and a medium-tempo total.