Match Pafos vs Villarreal November 5, 2025
Pafos
Home · last 5
W
D
L
L
W
Kick-off
Wed 05 Nov · 17:45
1:0
Full-time
Alphamega Stadium · Limassol
Referee Sven Jablonski, Germany
Hit
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 43% · book 2.84
✓
Miss
Under 0.5
Under 0.5
AI 10% · book 17.50
✗
Miss
Draw
Draw
AI 25% · book 4.86
✗
xG (open play)
0.75 – 1.55
Δ −0.80
AI accuracy
10 / 21
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
AI picks Under 1.5 at 4.50 — +10.0% better than the market.
Villarreal are a level up in squad depth and shot quality. Pafos can be stubborn at home but tend to fade under sustained pressure. A cautious away-sided stance with draw cover and selective unders around early game control looks sensible.
P
Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5
Under 1.5 @ 4.50
✓ Cashed
AI 25%
Implied 22%
+3.50u
⛀ Lineups
PAP 5-4-1 · VIL 4-4-2
📊 Statistics
PAP 1
– 0 VIL
0.75
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
1.55
77%
Pass Accuracy (%)
87%
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
21 · 10 W · 11 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| Double Chance 1X |
2.84 |
— |
43% |
Cashed |
+1.84 |
Cashed
|
| Under 0.5 |
17.50 |
— |
10% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Draw |
4.86 |
— |
25% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Home Win |
6.86 |
— |
17% |
Cashed |
+5.86 |
Cashed
|
| Under 1.5 |
4.50 |
— |
25% |
Cashed |
+3.50 |
Cashed
|
| Over 3.5 |
2.62 |
— |
40% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.82 |
— |
56% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 2.5 |
2.36 |
— |
43% |
Cashed |
+1.36 |
Cashed
|
| Over 2.5 |
1.70 |
— |
57% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.20 |
— |
75% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.03 |
— |
90% |
Cashed |
+0.03 |
Cashed
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.52 |
— |
60% |
Cashed |
+0.52 |
Cashed
|
| AH Home -1 |
13.00 |
— |
10% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Away -1 |
1.02 |
— |
40% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Home +2 |
1.34 |
— |
74% |
Cashed |
+0.34 |
Cashed
|
| AH Home +1 |
2.18 |
— |
42% |
Cashed |
+1.18 |
Cashed
|
| AH Away 0 |
1.19 |
— |
58% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Home 0 |
4.90 |
— |
17% |
Cashed |
+3.90 |
Cashed
|
| BTTS No |
2.05 |
— |
44% |
Cashed |
+1.05 |
Cashed
|
| Away Win |
1.52 |
— |
58% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance X2 |
1.14 |
— |
83% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Total · 21 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
10 W · 11 L |
+8.58u |
+41% ROI |
