Bayern München won 2–1 away at Paris Saint Germain. At half-time it was 0–2.
In possession, the hosts ran the game with 71% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 92% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.01 to 1.45. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 25 shots to 9, 9 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 1. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 8 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 25 graded markets, 11 landed and 14 missed, for a net +1.47 units (Brier 0.190).
| Market | Odds | Closed | AI | Result | P/L · 1u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Win | 2.44 | — | 39% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Draw | 4.20 | — | 24% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Away Win | 2.79 | — | 37% | Cashed | +1.79 | Cashed |
| BTTS Yes | 1.35 | — | 67% | Cashed | +0.35 | Cashed |
| BTTS No | 3.45 | — | 33% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 0.5 | 1.01 | — | 97% | Cashed | +0.01 | Cashed |
| Under 0.5 | 27.00 | — | 3% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 1.5 | 1.10 | — | 86% | Cashed | +0.10 | Cashed |
| Under 1.5 | 7.00 | — | 14% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 2.5 | 1.36 | — | 68% | Cashed | +0.36 | Cashed |
| Under 2.5 | 3.22 | — | 32% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 3.5 | 1.96 | — | 52% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 3.5 | 1.98 | — | 48% | Cashed | +0.98 | Cashed |
| Double Chance 1X | 1.52 | — | 63% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Double Chance X2 | 1.65 | — | 61% | Cashed | +0.65 | Cashed |
| AH Home 0 | 1.87 | — | 51% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Away 0 | 2.12 | — | 49% | Cashed | +1.12 | Cashed |
| AH Home +1 | 1.25 | — | 77% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Home +2 | 1.02 | — | 94% | Cashed | +0.02 | Cashed |
| AH Away +1 | 4.19 | — | 28% | Cashed | +3.19 | Cashed |
| AH Away +2 | 7.90 | — | 18% | Cashed | +6.90 | Cashed |
| AH Home -1 | 3.62 | — | 26% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Home -2 | 6.50 | — | 12% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Away -1 | 1.33 | — | 40% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Away -2 | 1.06 | — | 18% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Total · 25 markets @ 1u each | — | — | — | 11 W · 14 L | +1.47u | +6% ROI |
