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Prognosist
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⚽ Football 57 + Value 23 📈 Forecasts
Football World UEFA Champions League Bayer Leverkusen — PSV Eindhoven

Match Bayer Leverkusen vs PSV Eindhoven October 1, 2025

Europe   /   UEFA Champions League Value pick inside
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
Home · last 5 W W D D L
Kick-off
Wed 01 Oct · 19:00
1:1
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
D W L L L Away · last 5
BayArena · Leverkusen Referee Glenn Nyberg, Sweden
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 44% · book 2.50
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 56% · book 1.89
Miss
AH Home -1
AH Home -1
AI 43% · book 2.54
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
1.84 – 0.48
Δ +1.36
Possession
47% – 53%
AI accuracy
2 / 5
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 3.5 at 2.50 — +10.0% better than the market.

Bayer Leverkusen shows a solid home form with a slight edge in recent results and defensive resilience. PSV Eindhoven is stronger overall but less consistent away. The match is expected to be competitive with a moderate pace and a good chance of goals from both sides. The home team has a slight advantage in attack versus the opponent's defense, suggesting a home win is the most likely outcome, followed by a draw. Both teams scoring is probable given their offensive capabilities.
P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Over 3.5
Over 3.5 @ 2.50 ✗ Lost
AI 44% Implied 40% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

BAY 3-4-2-1 · PSV 4-2-3-1
Subs used · BAY
42' Arthur ↑ · Tape
73' Seghir ↑ · Poku
80' Maza ↑ · Tillman
80' Echeverri ↑ · Kofane
Subs used · PSV
66' Flamingo ↑ · Obispo
73' Bajraktarević ↑ · Man
73' Driouech ↑ · Perišić

📊 Statistics

BAY 11 PSV
47%
Possession (%)
53%
1.84
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.48
14
Total Shots
6
4
Shots on Target
1
6
Shots off Target
3
12
Shots Inside Box
4
7
Corner Kicks
4
2
Offsides
2
8
Fouls
11
89%
Pass Accuracy (%)
88%
0
Yellow Cards
2
0
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

11 · 1 – 1
Arthur ↓ · Axel Tape ↑
Substitution 1
42'
Half-time · 0 – 0
64'
Guus Til
Yellow Card
Christian Kofane
1–0
65'
66'
Ryan Flamingo ↓ · Armando Obispo ↑
Substitution 1
72'
Ismael Saibari
Assist · Guus Til · 1–1
Eliesse Ben Seghir ↓ · Ernest Poku ↑
Substitution 2
73'
73'
Esmir Bajraktarević ↓ · Dennis Man ↑
Substitution 2
73'
Couhaib Driouech ↓ · Ivan Perišić ↑
Substitution 3
Ibrahim Maza ↓ · Malik Tillman ↑
Substitution 3
80'
Claudio Echeverri ↓ · Christian Kofane ↑
Substitution 4
80'
90+2'
Ismael Saibari
Yellow Card
Full-time · 1 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

5 · 2 W · 3 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 3.5 2.50 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.89 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home -1 2.54 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.58 66% Cashed +0.58 Cashed
Home Team Total Over 0.5 1.14 91% Cashed +0.14 Cashed
Total · 5 markets @ 1u each 2 W · 3 L −2.28u −46% ROI
Best bet of the night · Over 3.5
BAY – PSV @ 2.50
+10.0%
Edge
Forecast →