Match Monaco vs Manchester City October 1, 2025
Monaco
Home · last 5
W
L
D
L
D
Kick-off
Wed 01 Oct · 19:00
2:2
Full-time
Stade Louis II · Monaco
Referee Jesus Gil Manzano, Spain
Hit
AH Away +0.5
AH Away +0.5
AI 75% · book 1.50
✓
Miss
Home Team Total Under 0.5
Home Team Total Under 0.5
AI 42% · book 2.54
✗
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 45% · book 2.35
✓
xG (open play)
1.44 – 1.37
Δ +0.07
AI accuracy
3 / 5
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
AI picks AH Away +0.5 at 1.50 — +13.0% better than the market.
Manchester City is clearly stronger and in better recent form, making them the favorite to win. Monaco has some home advantage but struggles defensively against City's attack. Expect goals from both sides with a likely high-scoring game. The best value lies in backing Manchester City to win and both teams to score.
P
Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · AH Away +0.5
AH Away +0.5 @ 1.50
✓ Cashed
AI 75%
Implied 67%
+0.50u
⛀ Lineups
MON 3-4-2-1 · MCI 4-1-4-1
📊 Statistics
MON 2
– 2 MCI
1.44
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
1.37
81%
Pass Accuracy (%)
94%
⏱ Match events
17 · 2 – 2
15'
⚽
Erling Haaland
Assist · Joško Gvardiol · 0–1
Jordan Teze
Assist · Krépin Diatta · 1–1
⚽
18'
Kassoum Ouattara ↓ · Vanderson ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
22'
39'
▮
Gianluigi Donnarumma
Yellow Card
44'
⚽
Erling Haaland
Assist · Nico O'Reilly · 1–2
Half-time · 1 – 2
61'
⇄
Nico González ↓ · Rodri ↑
Substitution 1
61'
⇄
Savinho ↓ · Jérémy Doku ↑
Substitution 2
Krépin Diatta
Yellow Card
▮
63'
Stanis Idumbo Muzambo ↓ · Ansu Fati ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
64'
73'
⇄
Matheus Nunes ↓ · John Stones ↑
Substitution 3
Mika Biereth ↓ · Folarin Balogun ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
82'
Pape Cabral ↓ · Mamadou Coulibaly ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
82'
George Ilenikhena ↓ · Mohammed Salisu ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
83'
88'
▮
Bernardo Silva
Yellow Card
Eric Dier (P)
Penalty · 2–2
⚽
90'
Full-time · 2 – 2
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
5 · 3 W · 2 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| AH Away +0.5 |
1.50 |
— |
75% |
Cashed |
+0.50 |
Cashed
|
| Home Team Total Under 0.5 |
2.54 |
— |
42% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 3.5 |
2.35 |
— |
45% |
Cashed |
+1.35 |
Cashed
|
| Away Win |
1.51 |
— |
68% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance X2 |
1.14 |
— |
88% |
Cashed |
+0.14 |
Cashed
|
| Total · 5 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
3 W · 2 L |
−0.01u |
−0% ROI |
