Match Monaco vs Manchester City October 1, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks AH Away +0.5 at 1.50 — +13.0% better than the market.

Manchester City is clearly stronger and in better recent form, making them the favorite to win. Monaco has some home advantage but struggles defensively against City's attack. Expect goals from both sides with a likely high-scoring game. The best value lies in backing Manchester City to win and both teams to score.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · AH Away +0.5

AH Away +0.5 @ 1.50 ✓ Cashed

AI 75% Implied 67% +0.50u

+50%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

MON 3-4-2-1 · MCI 4-1-4-1

MON · 3-4-2-1 4-1-4-1 · MCI

9 Balogun

Subs used · MON

22'

Ouattara ↑ ·

Vanderson ↓

64'

Muzambo ↑ ·

Fati ↓

82'

Biereth ↑ ·

Balogun ↓

82' Cabral ↑ ·

Coulibaly ↓

83'

Ilenikhena ↑ ·

Salisu ↓

Subs used · MCI

61'

González ↑ ·

Rodri ↓

61'

Savinho ↑ ·

Doku ↓

73'

Nunes ↑ ·

Stones ↓

📊 Statistics

MON 2 – 2 MCI

29%

Possession (%)

71%

1.44

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.37

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

81%

Pass Accuracy (%)

94%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

17 · 2 – 2

15'

⚽

Erling Haaland

Assist · Joško Gvardiol · 0–1

Jordan Teze

Assist · Krépin Diatta · 1–1

⚽

18'

Kassoum Ouattara ↓ · Vanderson ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

22'

39'

▮

Gianluigi Donnarumma

Yellow Card

44'

⚽

Erling Haaland

Assist · Nico O'Reilly · 1–2

Half-time · 1 – 2

57'

▮

Rodri

Yellow Card

61'

⇄

Nico González ↓ · Rodri ↑

Substitution 1

61'

⇄

Savinho ↓ · Jérémy Doku ↑

Substitution 2

Krépin Diatta

Yellow Card

▮

63'

Stanis Idumbo Muzambo ↓ · Ansu Fati ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

64'

73'

⇄

Matheus Nunes ↓ · John Stones ↑

Substitution 3

Mika Biereth ↓ · Folarin Balogun ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

82'

Pape Cabral ↓ · Mamadou Coulibaly ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

82'

George Ilenikhena ↓ · Mohammed Salisu ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

83'

88'

▮

Bernardo Silva

Yellow Card

Eric Dier (P)

Penalty · 2–2

⚽

90'

90+4'

▮

Savinho

Yellow Card

Full-time · 2 – 2

Match recap

Monaco and Manchester City drew 2–2. At half-time it was 1–2.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 71% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 94% of their passes. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 8, 6 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 3. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Erling Haaland (15'), Jordan Teze (18'), Erling Haaland (44'), Eric Dier (90').

Model audit for this match: of 5 graded markets, 3 landed and 2 missed, for a net -0.01 units (Brier 0.204).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

5 · 3 W · 2 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
AH Away +0.5	1.50	—	75%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Home Team Total Under 0.5	2.54	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.35	—	45%	Cashed	+1.35	Cashed
Away Win	1.51	—	68%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.14	—	88%	Cashed	+0.14	Cashed
Total · 5 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	3 W · 2 L	−0.01u	−0% ROI